Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 98% 75% 29% 3%
2 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
3 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 99% 86% 44% 9%
3 ZHANG Aaron 100% 98% 74% 31% 5%
5 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
6 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 19%
7 LYU Victor 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
8 CHOI JIAN 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
9 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
10 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 99% 87% 44% 5%
11 PAN Henry 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1%
12 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 100% 96% 73% 29%
13 KIM Minhyeok 100% 99% 82% 42% 9%
14 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
15 LEE Eugene 100% 95% 49% 7% - -
16 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
17 BARRETT Austin 100% 93% 52% 11% 1% -
18 JOHN AYI Neville Pascal 100% 32% 4% - - -
19 BONSTEEL Max K. 100% 97% 75% 34% 6% -
19 SONG Noel 100% 96% 63% 17% 2% -
21 JIANG Yehong 100% 27% 2% - - -
22 CHIN Ryan 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
23 TSAI Caleb 100% 31% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.