Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Adeline - - - - 1% 16% 83%
2 CHO Rebecca H. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 LEE Lavender - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
3 AMR HOSSNY Sara - - - - 3% 24% 73%
5 YURKOVA Mariia - - 4% 17% 38% 36% 6%
6 MI Aileen - - - 1% 13% 46% 39%
7 BIODROWICZ Julia - - 2% 16% 50% 32%
8 KIM Rachel - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 1%
9 CHEN Renee - 1% 6% 23% 39% 28% 4%
10 FEDELI Caterina S. - - - - 4% 28% 67%
11 CASCONE Emily - - - 2% 17% 49% 31%
12 WU Celine - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
13 LIN Zhi tong - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
14 XIE Lillian 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
15 CALISE Ella - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
16 PAULUS Sloane 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
17 SIMONOV Dasha - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
18 LI Sophia M. - - 1% 13% 46% 39%
19 YANG Lingting - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 3%
20 KUMAMOTO Shino - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
21 WILLIS Fletcher L. - 1% 7% 30% 39% 20% 3%
22 MCSHERRY Ava - 2% 12% 27% 34% 20% 5%
23 DENG Melissa 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
24 TUCKER ALARCON Frida - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
25 HU Felice 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
26 KAPRAN Anastasia 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
27 LI Eleanor 10% 32% 38% 18% 2% -
28 KAPUSTINA Arina - - 3% 20% 40% 29% 7%
29 LEE emily 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4% -
30 PARK Lina - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
31 SHIM Grace - - 2% 12% 37% 44% 5%
32 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
33 PAULUS Isabella 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
34 PEVZNER Nicole 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
35 LIAW Elaine 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
36 YU Jane 13% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
37 HAFEZ Tahiyah - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4% -
38 FENG Grace 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
39 BROWN Lola 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
39 BASILE Gianna 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
41 VIANA Reese 3% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
42 OWENS Elise 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% - -
43 JOO Natalie 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
44 WEI Angela 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7% -
45 CAO Kayla 29% 48% 20% 3% - - -
46 SUNMAN Rory 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
47 MAJID Inaaya 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
48 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 8% 30% 39% 20% 3% -
49 GAO Anne 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
50 ALLEYNE Taylar 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
51 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
52 CHOI Hannah 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
53 ARMSTRONG Olivia 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
54 WRIGHT Taliyah 1% 13% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
55 LEE Alice 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
56 WANG CAROL 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
57 DESERANNO Seren 6% 30% 45% 17% 2% - -
58 TRACZ Calleigh D. 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
59 WRIGHT Trinity 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
59 TAN Isabella 32% 48% 19% 2% - - -
61 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
62 HWANG Chanel 63% 31% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.