Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
3 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
5 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 6%
6 MI Aileen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 39%
7 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 32%
8 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
9 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 4%
10 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
11 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 31%
12 WU Celine 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
13 LIN Zhi tong 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
14 XIE Lillian 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
15 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
16 PAULUS Sloane 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 8% -
17 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
18 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 39%
19 YANG Lingting 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
20 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
21 WILLIS Fletcher L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 23% 3%
22 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
23 DENG Melissa 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
24 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
25 HU Felice 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
26 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
27 LI Eleanor 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
28 KAPUSTINA Arina 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
29 LEE emily 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4% -
30 PARK Lina 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
31 SHIM Grace 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 5%
32 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
33 PAULUS Isabella 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
34 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
35 LIAW Elaine 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
36 YU Jane 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
37 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
38 FENG Grace 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
39 BROWN Lola 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
39 BASILE Gianna 100% 90% 53% 17% 2% - -
41 VIANA Reese 100% 97% 74% 37% 10% 2% -
42 OWENS Elise 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% - -
43 JOO Natalie 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
44 WEI Angela 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% -
45 CAO Kayla 100% 71% 23% 3% - - -
46 SUNMAN Rory 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
47 MAJID Inaaya 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
48 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 92% 62% 23% 3% -
49 GAO Anne 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1% -
50 ALLEYNE Taylar 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
51 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
52 CHOI Hannah 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
53 ARMSTRONG Olivia 100% 87% 54% 19% 3% - -
54 WRIGHT Taliyah 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2% -
55 LEE Alice 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
56 WANG CAROL 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
57 DESERANNO Seren 100% 94% 65% 19% 3% - -
58 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
59 WRIGHT Trinity 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
59 TAN Isabella 100% 68% 21% 2% - - -
61 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
62 HWANG Chanel 100% 37% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.