Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KUGLER Luke - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
2 CORBIN Bennett - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 LEE Aiden - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
3 ZHAI Avalo - - 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
5 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
6 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
7 KANG EUNWOO - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
8 TWEMLOW Sacha 2% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2%
9 LAM Alan - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
10 NAKAS Levent - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
11 MAO Benjamin - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
12 BUI Henry - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
13 ALI Farhan - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
14 ZENG Andrew - 6% 27% 39% 23% 5%
15 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham - 2% 12% 34% 38% 15%
16 MA YIXING (Tiger) - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
17 MODANLOU Navid 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
18 SINGH Ravin - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
19 MEHROTRA Neel - - 5% 27% 46% 22%
20 GINZBURG Adam - - 4% 19% 37% 32% 8%
21 LIU Adam - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
22 YANG Gary 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
23 PAN Anthony 7% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
24 ZIEGLER John - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
25 CHENG Bingyi - 4% 22% 42% 27% 5%
26 HERNDON Liam 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
27 BORISENKO Samuel 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
28 DODIN Daniel M. 1% 8% 30% 41% 19% 2%
29 FRANGER Max - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
30 CHEN Bowen - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
31 AYOTTE James 2% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
32 LOISEAU Oscar - 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
33 JIANG Matthew - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
34 SHIN SEUNGHYUN - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
35 GONZALEZ Lucas - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
36 YU Jason 1% 5% 20% 34% 30% 10%
37 BRADSHAW Carter 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2%
38 KONG Brandon 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
39 LEE DoWon 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
40 RUSSELL Michael 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
41 AHN EZRA 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
42 ZAHRAN Aiden - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
43 CAFASSO Alexander 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
44 CHA Patrick 3% 17% 34% 30% 14% 3% -
45 DOAN Christopher 10% 36% 39% 14% 2% -
46 YAO Tristan 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
47 MAZAHERI Fletcher 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
48 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
49 PENG Yue 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1%
50 SINGLETON Aman - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
51 MOORE Alexander - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
52 WANG Marcus 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
53 HEADRICK Jack - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
54 PARK Aiden 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
55 KE Sebastian 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
56 FONG Henry 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% -
57 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 10% 43% 34% 11% 2% -
58 KIM Jaewon 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
59 KIM Julian 4% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
60 SZIEDE Kieran 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
61 SUN Ethan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
62 CHAWLA aarav 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
63 KROPP Wesley 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
64 ROBERTS Arthur 8% 36% 40% 14% 2% -
65 OZBAY Alp 57% 35% 8% 1% - -
66 LEE HUSEUNG 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
67 ZHANG Shuhao 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1%
68 CLARK Ian 60% 34% 6% - - -
69 HEADRICK Liam 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
70 BURHANAN Tangguh 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
71 QIU William 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.