Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
2 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
3 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
5 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
6 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
7 KANG EUNWOO 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
8 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
9 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 21%
10 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
11 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
12 BUI Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
13 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
14 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
15 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
16 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
17 MODANLOU Navid 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
18 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
19 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 22%
20 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
21 LIU Adam 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
22 YANG Gary 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
23 PAN Anthony 100% 93% 59% 22% 5% 1% -
24 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
25 CHENG Bingyi 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 5%
26 HERNDON Liam 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
27 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
28 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
29 FRANGER Max 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
30 CHEN Bowen 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
31 AYOTTE James 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
32 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
33 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
34 SHIN SEUNGHYUN 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
35 GONZALEZ Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
36 YU Jason 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
37 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
38 KONG Brandon 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
39 LEE DoWon 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
40 RUSSELL Michael 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
41 AHN EZRA 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
42 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
43 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
44 CHA Patrick 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
45 DOAN Christopher 100% 90% 54% 15% 2% -
46 YAO Tristan 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
47 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
48 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
49 PENG Yue 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
50 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 3%
51 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
52 WANG Marcus 100% 96% 69% 29% 7% 1% -
53 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
54 PARK Aiden 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
55 KE Sebastian 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
56 FONG Henry 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
57 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 100% 90% 47% 13% 2% -
58 KIM Jaewon 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
59 KIM Julian 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 3% -
60 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
61 SUN Ethan 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
62 CHAWLA aarav 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
63 KROPP Wesley 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
64 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 92% 56% 16% 2% -
65 OZBAY Alp 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
66 LEE HUSEUNG 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
67 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1%
68 CLARK Ian 100% 40% 6% - - -
69 HEADRICK Liam 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
70 BURHANAN Tangguh 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
71 QIU William 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.