Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Lavender - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
2 SU Evelyn - - - 3% 21% 59% 17%
3 CAFASSO Natalya - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
3 QIU Emily - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
5 NIX Reagan - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
6 PROFIS Liora - - 1% 6% 26% 49% 19%
7 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - - - 5% 30% 64%
8 LUO Amy - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
9 LEE Gloria - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
10 NEELAM Navya - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 9%
11 SUN Zeyu - 4% 20% 39% 31% 6%
12 FRANGER Macy - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
13 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
14 PILSON Rebecca - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
15 LY Hannah - 6% 26% 41% 23% 3%
16 QI Julieanne - 2% 18% 41% 32% 6% -
17 PINEDA jade luna - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
18 KIM YUNA - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
19 LIN Ariel - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
20 WORKNEH Lulit 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
21 WRIGHT Madison 1% 12% 34% 37% 15% 2%
22 SCHMITT Harper 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
23 BI Michelle - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
24 WONG Caitlin - 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% 1%
25 LIANG Angela 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
26 PAN Angela - 4% 21% 42% 29% 4%
27 WANG Ziqiao 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
28 WOOLF Fredrika 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
29 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
30 KROPP Anne - 7% 33% 40% 17% 2% -
31 DESAI Ela 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
32 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 2% 23% 41% 27% 6% -
33 MARTINEZ Christina 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
34 PARK SIYEON - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
35 TAM Connie 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
36 CHERNIS Liah 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
37 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
38 CUEVA Viola 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
39 CHEN Alina 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
40 HARMON Nikkole 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
41 BOREN Ava 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
42 PONCE Zoey 61% 32% 6% 1% - -
43 LEVKOV Maita 33% 46% 19% 3% - -
44 D'ANGELO Olivia 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
45 YAO Chloe 3% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
46 BABCOCK Alana 54% 40% 6% - - - -
47 LEE Kate 23% 52% 21% 3% - - -
48 HALL Isabelle 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
49 KRAWIECKI Arden 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
50 YANG Angela 66% 29% 5% - - - -
51 LAUB Lorelei 4% 32% 41% 19% 3% -
52 GARG Suhani 2% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.