Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 17%
3 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 QIU Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
5 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
6 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 19%
7 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
8 LUO Amy 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
9 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
10 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 9%
11 SUN Zeyu 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
12 FRANGER Macy 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 2%
13 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
14 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
15 LY Hannah 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 3%
16 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 6% -
17 PINEDA jade luna 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
18 KIM YUNA 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
19 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
20 WORKNEH Lulit 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
21 WRIGHT Madison 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
22 SCHMITT Harper 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
23 BI Michelle 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
24 WONG Caitlin 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
25 LIANG Angela 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
26 PAN Angela 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 4%
27 WANG Ziqiao 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
28 WOOLF Fredrika 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
29 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
30 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 93% 60% 20% 2% -
31 DESAI Ela 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
32 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% -
33 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
34 PARK SIYEON 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
35 TAM Connie 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% -
36 CHERNIS Liah 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
37 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
38 CUEVA Viola 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
39 CHEN Alina 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
40 HARMON Nikkole 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
41 BOREN Ava 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
42 PONCE Zoey 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
43 LEVKOV Maita 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
44 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
45 YAO Chloe 100% 97% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
46 BABCOCK Alana 100% 46% 6% - - - -
47 LEE Kate 100% 77% 25% 3% - - -
48 HALL Isabelle 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
49 KRAWIECKI Arden 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
50 YANG Angela 100% 34% 5% - - - -
51 LAUB Lorelei 100% 96% 64% 23% 4% -
52 GARG Suhani 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.