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Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Victor - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
2 JOHNSON Leland - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
3 DAI Zihou - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
3 BAI Evan - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
5 CHAMBERS Miles - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
6 YU BOWEN - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
7 CHANG Timothy - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
8 AGARWAAL Yohan 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
9 HU Harry - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
10 LIAO Sirui - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
11 MERMEGAS Alexander - - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11%
12 BOSITA Brennan 6% 30% 41% 20% 4% -
13 CHANG Ethan - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
14 BADMUS Joshua - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
15 NGO Emerson 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
16 GRABOWSKI Alexander 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
17 YU Ian - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
18 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
19 CHAVAN Aditya 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
20 SONG Aidan 11% 40% 34% 13% 2% -
21 CHEN Lucas - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
22 TAKEBE Ren 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
23 LAU Kyrus 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
24 YANG Justin 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
25 CHAN Ewan 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
26 SLAVNOV Anton 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
27 MALEK Zak 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
28 MAZZUCA Gianluca - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
29 CORPUZ Dylan 1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
30 WEI Rian - 8% 30% 41% 18% 2%
31 VALLETTA John “JD” 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
32 XIONG Alvin 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
33 ALLEN Paxton - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
34 AVERY Marcus 2% 27% 43% 23% 5% -
35 GORDON Ezekiel 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
36 GIOVANNOLI Luca 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
37 WANG Adam 45% 40% 12% 2% - - -
38 MAZAHERI Theodore 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
39 WANG Harrison 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.