Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
3 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
3 BAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
5 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
6 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
7 CHANG Timothy 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
8 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
9 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
10 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
11 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
12 BOSITA Brennan 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
13 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
14 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
15 NGO Emerson 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
16 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
17 YU Ian 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
18 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
19 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
20 SONG Aidan 100% 89% 49% 15% 2% -
21 CHEN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
22 TAKEBE Ren 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
23 LAU Kyrus 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% - -
24 YANG Justin 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
25 CHAN Ewan 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
26 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
27 MALEK Zak 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
28 MAZZUCA Gianluca 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
29 CORPUZ Dylan 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
30 WEI Rian 100% 100% 92% 62% 20% 2%
31 VALLETTA John “JD” 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
32 XIONG Alvin 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
33 ALLEN Paxton 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4%
34 AVERY Marcus 100% 98% 71% 28% 5% -
35 GORDON Ezekiel 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
36 GIOVANNOLI Luca 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
37 WANG Adam 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
38 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
39 WANG Harrison 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.