Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GILSON Lucas B. | D V V V V | V V V V V | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 2 | SU Landon | V V V D V | V V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | NAZLYMOV Andrei | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 3 | HONG Steven | V V V V V D | V V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 5 | BERA Enzo | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 6 | KALPATHY Rohit | V V D V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 7 | WU Richard | V V V D D | V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 8 | ANAND Rohan | V D V D D V | V V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 9 | MCGUIRE Christian | V V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 10 | ZHANG Ethan W. | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 10 | BROU Inkosi | V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 12 | BUKOWSKI Broghan J. | V V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 12 | GAUVEY Kieran | V V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 14 | BOUKHTIN Maxim | V V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 15 | MOL Justin | V V V D D | V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 16 | ZHAO Lucas | D V D D D | V V D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 17 | AN Chihun | V V V V V D | D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 18 | HU Christopher | V V V D V | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 19 | KATZ Ryan | D V V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 20 | CHUNG Connor | V D V D V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 21 | TANG Shu Hon | D D V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 22 | JENSBY Jason | D V D V V D | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 23 | PASTORE LIU Vince | D V D V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 24 | GERSTMANN Max T. | V D V D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 25 | LEE Andrew | V D D V D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 26 | PRIEUR Christian F. | D D D V V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 27 | VAUGHN Jason | V D D V D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 28 | HOTHA Nikhil | V D V D D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 29 | WANG daniel | D V D V D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 30 | DECK Tyson | D V D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 31 | MCCONNELL Quinlan | D V D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 32 | LIU Kevin | D D D D D | V D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| 33 | HO Jacob | V D D V V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 34 | MARKOWITZ Jonathan | D D V V V | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 35 | SHANKAR Karthik | V D D V D V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 36 | WEINSTEIN Nate | D D V D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 37 | WILKINSON James | D V V D D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 38 | CARTAGENA Caden A. | D V D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 39 | LIN Philip T. | D V D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 40 | BONETTI Brayden | D D D V D V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 41 | LIN Felix | D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 42 | ZHOU James Y. | D D V D D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 | |
| 43 | WALKE Devin | D D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 44 | GUREVICH Savely | V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 45 | XU Justin | D D D V D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 46 | STORER Julian | D D D D D V | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 47 | STOLL Fuller | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 48 | KUSANAGI Soshi | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 49 | KIRCHMAIER Charlie | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 50 | GRUNDY Patrick | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.