Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GILSON Lucas B. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
2 SU Landon - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
3 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 1% 6% 28% 50% 16%
3 HONG Steven - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
5 BERA Enzo - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
6 KALPATHY Rohit - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
7 WU Richard 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
8 ANAND Rohan - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
9 MCGUIRE Christian - - 6% 26% 43% 24%
10 ZHANG Ethan W. - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
10 BROU Inkosi - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
12 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
12 GAUVEY Kieran - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
14 BOUKHTIN Maxim - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
15 MOL Justin 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
16 ZHAO Lucas - 2% 13% 37% 36% 11%
17 AN Chihun - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
18 HU Christopher - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
19 KATZ Ryan 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
20 CHUNG Connor 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
21 TANG Shu Hon 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
22 JENSBY Jason 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
23 PASTORE LIU Vince - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
24 GERSTMANN Max T. - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
25 LEE Andrew 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
26 PRIEUR Christian F. 8% 36% 38% 15% 3% -
27 VAUGHN Jason 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
28 HOTHA Nikhil 2% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1%
29 WANG daniel 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
30 DECK Tyson 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
31 MCCONNELL Quinlan 14% 36% 34% 13% 3% - -
32 LIU Kevin 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
33 HO Jacob 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
34 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 9% 42% 36% 11% 1% -
35 SHANKAR Karthik 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
36 WEINSTEIN Nate 2% 14% 36% 35% 13% 2%
37 WILKINSON James 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
38 CARTAGENA Caden A. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
39 LIN Philip T. 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
40 BONETTI Brayden 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
41 LIN Felix 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
42 ZHOU James Y. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
43 WALKE Devin 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
44 GUREVICH Savely 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
45 XU Justin 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
46 STORER Julian 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
47 STOLL Fuller 54% 37% 9% 1% - -
48 KUSANAGI Soshi 58% 35% 7% 1% - -
49 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
50 GRUNDY Patrick 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.