Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMR HOSSNY Sara - - - - 1% 16% 82%
2 FEDELI Caterina S. - - - - - 11% 88%
3 LEE Lavender - - - - 1% 21% 77%
3 SHIM Grace - - - 8% 41% 51%
5 OH Ceana - - 1% 7% 30% 49% 13%
6 KIM Rachel - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
7 XIE Lillian - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
8 FENG Grace - 1% 9% 26% 39% 23% 2%
9 CASCONE Emily - - - - 2% 23% 75%
10 KUMAMOTO Shino - - - 3% 30% 67%
11 CHEN Renee - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
12 CALISE Ella - - - 2% 18% 50% 30%
13 YURKOVA Mariia - - 1% 7% 31% 56% 5%
14 JOO Natalie - - 1% 8% 34% 49% 8%
15 HAFEZ Tahiyah - 2% 15% 51% 29% 4%
16 PARK Lina - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
17 PAULUS Sloane - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
18 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
19 WANG CAROL - 1% 8% 30% 44% 16% 1%
20 BROWN Lola - - 4% 26% 55% 15%
21 KAPRAN Anastasia - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
22 DENG Melissa - 1% 10% 32% 41% 14% 1%
23 MAJID Inaaya - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9% 1%
24 PEVZNER Nicole - - 1% 8% 35% 49% 8%
25 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2% -
26 WANG DINA C. 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
27 WANG Amabel - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
28 CULLIVAN Sienna - - 2% 24% 53% 21%
29 ZELDIN Nadia - 5% 29% 48% 16% 1%
30 YU Jane 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
31 GAO Anne - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
32 DAVID Lilou J. 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
33 CAO Kayla 1% 7% 26% 42% 21% 3% -
34 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
35 CAVANAGH Emma 37% 44% 17% 2% - - -
36 PINEDA jade luna - 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
37 PARK Zena 1% 6% 25% 39% 25% 4% -
38 JANSSEN Juliane 17% 44% 33% 6% - -
39 LI Xiang 19% 49% 28% 4% - -
40 HARRIS Julia - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
41 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6% -
42 DESERANNO Seren 1% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
43 LI savannah 12% 36% 36% 15% 2% - -
44 LI Han 3% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
45 RICHARDS Axelle 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
46 HUTH Caroline 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
47 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 2% 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
48 TSAI Triona 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
49 LIN Yunong 21% 46% 29% 4% - -
50 KATS Elizaveta 4% 25% 47% 22% 3% -
51 ORRINGER Lottie 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
52 LIU Caydence 2% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
53 KATS Ekaterina 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1% -
54 MCFARLANE Asha 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
55 LI Olivia 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
56 HUSSIAN Annabelle 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
57 TAN Isabella 3% 20% 39% 30% 8% 1% -
58 ALLEYNE Taylar 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
59 ALLEN Sophia 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
59 NOEL Eden - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
61 LIU Jenna 47% 42% 10% 1% - -
62 SHAOOLIAN Maya 27% 47% 24% 2% - -
63 HAFEZ Sahar 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
64 LEE Allison 77% 21% 2% - - - -
65 PONCE Zoey 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
66 LEE Jeemin 12% 37% 37% 13% 2% - -
67 MEITZEN Havah 77% 21% 2% - - - -
67 KO Elise 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.