Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
3 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 77%
3 SHIM Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 51%
5 OH Ceana 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 13%
6 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
7 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
8 FENG Grace 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 2%
9 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
10 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
11 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
12 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 30%
13 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 5%
14 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 8%
15 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 98% 84% 33% 4%
16 PARK Lina 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
17 PAULUS Sloane 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 11%
18 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
19 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17% 1%
20 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 15%
21 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
22 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15% 1%
23 MAJID Inaaya 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9% 1%
24 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 8%
25 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2% -
26 WANG DINA C. 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
27 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
28 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 21%
29 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 94% 65% 17% 1%
30 YU Jane 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
31 GAO Anne 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
32 DAVID Lilou J. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
33 CAO Kayla 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3% -
34 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
35 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
36 PINEDA jade luna 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
37 PARK Zena 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4% -
38 JANSSEN Juliane 100% 83% 39% 6% - -
39 LI Xiang 100% 81% 32% 5% - -
40 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
41 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6% -
42 DESERANNO Seren 100% 99% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
43 LI savannah 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -
44 LI Han 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1% -
45 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
46 HUTH Caroline 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
47 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
48 TSAI Triona 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
49 LIN Yunong 100% 79% 33% 4% - -
50 KATS Elizaveta 100% 96% 71% 25% 3% -
51 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
52 LIU Caydence 100% 98% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
53 KATS Ekaterina 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1% -
54 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
55 LI Olivia 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
56 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% - -
57 TAN Isabella 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1% -
58 ALLEYNE Taylar 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
59 ALLEN Sophia 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
59 NOEL Eden 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
61 LIU Jenna 100% 53% 11% 1% - -
62 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 73% 26% 3% - -
63 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
64 LEE Allison 100% 23% 2% - - - -
65 PONCE Zoey 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
66 LEE Jeemin 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
67 MEITZEN Havah 100% 23% 2% - - - -
67 KO Elise 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.