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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas - - - - 2% 20% 79%
2 PATEL Rayn - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
3 LIU Victor - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
3 WANG Justin - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
5 VAID Luke - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
6 KIM Ethan - - - 5% 21% 44% 30%
7 SO Preston - 1% 7% 29% 43% 21%
8 WANG daniel - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 36%
9 WANG Max - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12%
10 BREUER Daniel 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% < 1%
11 CLARK Aram - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
12 DAI Zihou - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
13 GUREVICH Benjamin - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
14 ZHAO Lucas - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
15 NG Jonathan - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
16 LIN Philip T. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
17 YU BOWEN 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
18 HALL Noah - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
19 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 8%
20 CHUNG Connor - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
21 TURECK Nathan - 4% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
22 PINTO Marcus - 2% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
23 CHAMBERS Miles - - 4% 22% 42% 29% 3%
24 HU Andrew 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 3% -
25 OH Aster - - 4% 27% 46% 22%
26 WAGNER Joseph 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
27 NGO Maximus - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 1%
28 ANAND Rishab - 2% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
29 ZHAO David 3% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
29 HARDRICK Noah 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
31 HUCHWAJDA Alex 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
32 SOKOLOV Arseniy 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
33 CHANG Timothy 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
34 FENG Brendan 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
35 BAI Evan 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
36 PINKNEY Derek A. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
37 SONG Aidan 13% 40% 37% 9% 1% -
38 LIU Aaron 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
39 JANSEN Noah 12% 44% 34% 9% 1% - -
40 PORTER Dupree - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
41 CAI fungyu 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
41 CARD Seamus 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
43 HU Harry 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
44 FEI Danny 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
45 YANG Justin 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
46 WEI Rian 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
47 MELUL Jonathan 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
47 RINALDI Savio 48% 43% 8% 1% - -
49 NGO Emerson 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
50 MEHTA Yash 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
51 LIAO Sirui 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
52 CHEN Lucas - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
53 THEUNISSE Oliver 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
54 BADMUS Joshua 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
55 CHAWLA Abhishek 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
56 VALENCIA Jose 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
57 MCERLEAN Kellen 2% 40% 43% 13% 1% -
58 GRABOWSKI Stanley 56% 36% 7% - - - -
59 LEE Ezra 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
60 AVERY Marcus 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
61 CHAVAN Aditya 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.