Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Grace - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
2 JOO Natalie - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 CULLIVAN Sienna - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
3 MCFARLANE Asha 3% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1%
5 WANG Amabel - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
6 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite - 3% 17% 40% 33% 7%
7 BROWN Lola - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
8 LIN Yunong 10% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -
9 TANG Melody Fujiao - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
10 HAFEZ Sahar 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
11 HUTH Caroline - 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
12 ORRINGER Lottie - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
13 LI Olivia 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
13 LI savannah 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
15 LEE Jeemin 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
16 WANG DINA C. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
17 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
18 YACOBUCCI Nadia - - 3% 25% 43% 25% 4%
19 TEPMAN Zoey 46% 39% 12% 2% - - -
20 MCSHERRY Kayla 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
21 SHAOOLIAN Maya 30% 46% 20% 3% - -
22 LIU Jenna 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
23 REILLY Carys 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
24 ALLEN Sophia - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
25 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
26 CASHMAN Hailey - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
27 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
28 OWEN Alexandra 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
29 JOO Sara - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7% -
30 FRASER Morgan - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
31 CHIN Riley 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
32 CAPPIELLO Francesca 2% 32% 42% 20% 4% - -
33 MORENO Josefina 28% 48% 21% 3% - -
34 PROKUP Maren 1% 10% 38% 39% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.