Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
2 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
3 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 97% 79% 38% 9% 1%
5 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
6 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
7 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
8 LIN Yunong 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -
9 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
10 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
11 HUTH Caroline 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
12 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
13 LI Olivia 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
13 LI savannah 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
15 LEE Jeemin 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
16 WANG DINA C. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
17 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
18 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 29% 4%
19 TEPMAN Zoey 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
20 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
21 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 70% 24% 4% - -
22 LIU Jenna 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
23 REILLY Carys 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
24 ALLEN Sophia 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
25 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
26 CASHMAN Hailey 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
27 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
28 OWEN Alexandra 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
29 JOO Sara 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7% -
30 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
31 CHIN Riley 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
32 CAPPIELLO Francesca 100% 98% 66% 24% 4% - -
33 MORENO Josefina 100% 72% 24% 4% - -
34 PROKUP Maren 100% 99% 89% 51% 13% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.