Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
2 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
3 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 25% 3%
5 LYU Victor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
6 KIM Minhyeok 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 59% 18%
7 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
8 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
9 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
10 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
11 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
12 PAN Henry 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
13 SONG Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 42% 9%
14 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
15 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
16 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 7%
17 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
18 GUO Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
19 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
20 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
21 WANG Winston 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
22 STRADOMSKYI Klim 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
23 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
24 TANG August L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
25 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
26 PARRISH Evan 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
27 GERRISH William 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
28 DESERANNO Leander 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
29 RUSSELL Paul 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
30 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
31 YAP Nathan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
32 ZHAO Adam 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
33 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
34 TANG Terry 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
35 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 97% 75% 38% 10% 1%
36 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
37 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
38 HE Kyle 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
39 HUANG Eythan 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
40 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
41 DANIZ FERNANDO A. 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
42 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
43 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
44 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 7%
45 LEE Eugene 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
46 BARRETT Austin 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
47 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
48 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
49 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
50 SONG Noel 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
51 LU Nathan 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
52 JIANG Bowang 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
53 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 71% 29% 5%
54 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
55 WANG Brian 100% 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
56 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
57 DHOKTE Neev 100% 99% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
58 CHOI JIAN 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
59 CHEN Ethan 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
60 YU William 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
61 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
62 CHO Xzander 100% 99% 80% 41% 10% 1% -
63 SAH Steven 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
64 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3%
65 HUTH Trevor 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
66 SHAW Spencer 100% 87% 34% 2% - - -
67 LEE Ethan 100% 78% 24% 3% - - -
68 RILEY Colin T. 100% 72% 26% 3% - - -
69 ZAIDI Adil 100% 44% 7% - - - -
70 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
71 SEMP Iain 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
72 LEE Junehyuk 100% 87% 46% 8% 1% - -
73 XIE Jicheng 100% 94% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
74 LIU Robert 100% 32% 5% - - - -
75 ZHANG Alex 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
76 GOODLIN Sean 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
76 JIANG Yehong 100% 45% 7% - - - -
78 BAI Brian 100% 25% 3% - - - -
79 WATSON Logan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
80 CHUANG Oscar 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
81 NOLAN Tyler 100% 92% 53% 7% - - -
82 MILES Greyson 100% 79% 34% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.