AFM Youth Epee Cup - Event #3

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, June 5, 2022 at 12:00 PM

AFM Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIN Ariel 100% 94% 61% 17% 1%
2 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 RADOV Una 100% 75% 33% 7% 1%
3 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
5 LEE Valerie 100% 97% 75% 32% 4%
6 PATTERSON Liliya 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
7 LEE Emma 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% 1%
8 LIN Isabel 100% 99% 85% 41% 5%
10 KWON Genevie 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 32%
11 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
12 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 92% 57% 13% 1%
12 LEE Emily 100% 55% 14% 1% -
14 TEACHWORTH Samantha 100% 92% 58% 18% 1%
15 HSIEH Sarah 100% 100% 90% 52% 12%
16 WU Jalyn 100% 95% 68% 24% 2%
18 LEE Grace 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
19 ZHAO Emma 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
20 CHO Dana 100% 72% 25% 4% -
21 CHO Seren 100% 91% 61% 24% 4%
22 ZHANG Rose 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
23 YU Xintong 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.