Event Results
August Friday Night FencingSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ALTHARDT Michael W. | V V V D | V V V V | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 2 | HANAHAN Thomas M. | V V V D | V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 3 | GREGORY Abram | D D V V | V V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 3 | MENTELE Caden | D D V V | V V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 5 | FANGMAN Daniel L. | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 6 | LAUER Michael | V V V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 7 | THOMAS Samuel | V D V V V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 8 | RIPLEY Ian | V V D V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 9 | EROTAS Samuel | D V V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 10 | ARMBRUSTER David | D D V V V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 11 | REED Dusty (Allen) | V D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 12 | CRAPNELL Daniel | V V D D | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 13 | GUILFORD Corey | D V D V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 14 | CARDENAS Nathan A. | D V D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 15 | SHOU Phillip | D D D V | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 16 | MILLER Jackson | V D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 17 | ORGAN Jason | D V D V | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 18 | ORGAN Drew | D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 19 | STOCK Olivia | V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 20 | NGUYEN Tran N. | D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 21 | SPURGEON William | D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |