ACN Atlanta Foil : RYC & RJCC Region 6

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 10, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Atlanta, GA - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	MITCHELL Philip D.	-	-	-	1%	13%	44%	42%
2	SYLVESTER William Z.	-	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
3	ELWOOD Sebastian F.	-	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	22%
3	OH SEAN	-	-	-	1%	10%	39%	50%
5	SAGE Michael J.	-	2%	12%	31%	35%	18%	3%
6	HEARN Christen J.	-	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	27%
7	MADDUX Lance A.	-	3%	13%	30%	33%	17%	3%
8	GATZA Logan	-	1%	5%	19%	37%	31%	8%
9	MAHRAN-GALINDO Alex	-	-	2%	11%	33%	39%	15%
10	LOVE Aaron	-	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	17%
11	GIBBS Grant N.	-	1%	5%	21%	38%	29%	7%
12	YOUNGBLOOD Woody C.	-	-	3%	17%	39%	33%	7%
13	ROSS III Paul D.	-	7%	26%	37%	23%	6%	1%
14	CLICK Aiden	17%	37%	30%	12%	3%	-	-
15	JONES Nate	6%	29%	38%	21%	5%	1%	-
16	LANNAMAN Connor	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%	-
17	SLOUGH Sean	1%	10%	28%	35%	20%	5%	1%
18	TUGGY Sam	-	4%	16%	31%	32%	15%	2%
19	RIVERA IVAN	-	7%	30%	41%	19%	3%	-
20	LEE Jacob	-	5%	22%	37%	27%	8%	1%
21	DE COQUET Maximilian	1%	13%	35%	34%	14%	2%	-
22	BUCHENHORST Anton	1%	11%	28%	35%	20%	5%	-
23	ROHRBAUG Bunker	1%	13%	35%	34%	14%	2%	-
24	WANG Brayden	14%	35%	33%	14%	3%	-	-
25	OLSON Lucas	1%	7%	21%	33%	27%	11%	2%
26	BATRA Dev	1%	10%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
27	LEE Lukas	1%	10%	26%	34%	22%	6%	1%
28	SONG Austin	-	2%	13%	33%	36%	14%	1%
29	TURYK Leo	18%	46%	28%	7%	1%	-	-
30	KANDAGADLA Rishi	4%	18%	34%	29%	12%	2%	-
31	SUERSTEDT Haydn	7%	27%	38%	22%	6%	1%	-
32	QUINTERO Julian	24%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-	-
33	DILLARD Andrew	64%	31%	5%	-	-	-	-
35	MCLEMORE Eugene	3%	18%	37%	31%	10%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.