Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
2 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
3 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
5 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
7 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
8 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
9 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
10 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
11 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
12 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
13 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
14 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
15 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
16 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
17 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
17 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
17 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
20 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
21 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
22 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
23 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 7%
24 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
25 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
26 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
27 TAO Hannah J. 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
28 HE Charlotte 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
29 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
30 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
31 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
32 XIAO julie 100% 87% 43% 11% 1% -
33 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
34 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
35 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
36 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 96% 68% 27% 4%
37 DUNGEY Amelia S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
38 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
39 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
40 KER Grace 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
41 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
42 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
43 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
44 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
45 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
46 XI Shining 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
47 SADIK HANA 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
48 BILILIES Sophia 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 6% 1%
49 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 3%
49 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
51 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 97% 74% 33% 6%
52 LEE Hannah 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
53 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
54 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
55 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
56 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
57 LU Elaine 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
58 DANK Dina 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
59 LEE Sophia 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
60 LU Amy 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
61 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
62 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
63 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 4% -
64 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
65 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
66 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
67 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
67 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 99% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1%
69 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
70 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
71 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
72 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
73 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
74 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
75 WEI Vivian W. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
76 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
77 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
77 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
79 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
80 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
81 NATH Trisha 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
82 LIU Sophie 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
83 JEONG Katie 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
84 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
85 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
86 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
87 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
88 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
89 CHIN Elise 100% 93% 58% 21% 4% - -
90 LIAO Siwen 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
90 KIM Marley I. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
92 MARYASH Samantha 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% - -
93 WU Helen 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
94 SHI Cathleen 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
95 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
96 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
97 YU Zhiang 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
98 SUN Alyssa 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
99 CHANG Audrey 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
100 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
101 WU Lanting 100% 94% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
102 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
103 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
104 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
105 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% -
106 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
107 FESTA Carina 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
108 CHIANG Emily 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
109 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 79% 33% 6% - -
110 SADOVA Olga 100% 99% 56% 16% 2% - -
111 CHEN Ashley 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
112 HURST Kennedy 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
112 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
114 LIM Jaslene 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
115 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 94% 65% 27% 5% -
116 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
117 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
117 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
119 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
120 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
121 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
122 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
123 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
124 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
125 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 6%
126 GRAFF Sophie 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% -
127 DAI Olivia 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
128 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
129 NI Sharon 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
130 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
131 LI Angela 100% 69% 16% 2% - -
132 REN Xinling 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
133 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 53% 9% 1% - -
134 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
135 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 99% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
136 HOLMES Emma 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 2% -
137 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
138 MANN Sophia J. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
139 SCOTT Eve 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
140 YANG Lea 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
141 PANIGRAHI Emersen 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
141 LEE Lauren 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
143 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 97% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
144 SCHICK Veronica 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
145 LIN Nicole 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
146 NGUYEN Ella 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
147 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
148 LIM Jovine 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
149 MENKE Kavya I. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
150 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
151 HE Lizbeth 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
152 HSU Mia Y. 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
153 SINHA Anika 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
154 ROBINSON Emerald 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
155 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
155 LO JOCELYN 100% 20% 2% - - - -
157 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
158 FANG sophie 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
158 LAGOON Miriam 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
158 YAO Rainie 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
161 FAYETTE Mathilde 100% 5% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.