Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
2 MARSEE Samantha - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
3 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 KIM Zoe - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
5 NEWELL Alexia C. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
5 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
7 PAK Kaitlyn - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
8 TZOU Alexandra - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
9 TONG Kunling - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
10 LEE Alexandra B. - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
11 DUCKETT Madison - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
12 CHIN Erika J. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
13 JOHNSON Lauren - 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
14 ANDRES Katherine A. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
15 OLSEN Natalie J. - - 8% 30% 42% 20%
16 ALCEBAR Kayla - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
17 CARVALHO Isabela A. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
17 LU Vivian Y. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
17 GHAYALOD reya - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
20 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
21 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
22 CHEN Xiaohan - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
23 LI Victoria J. - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 7%
24 LI Amanda C. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
25 CODY Alexandra C. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
26 POSSICK Lola P. - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
27 TAO Hannah J. 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
28 HE Charlotte - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
29 VESTEL Mira B. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
30 MIKA Veronica - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
31 YONG Erika E. - 1% 8% 30% 42% 20%
32 XIAO julie 13% 44% 32% 9% 1% -
33 CAO Stephanie X. - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
34 OISHI Megumi - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
35 TIMOFEYEV Nicole - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
36 SHEARER Natalie E. - 4% 27% 42% 23% 4%
37 DUNGEY Amelia S. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
38 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - 3% 16% 44% 38%
39 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
40 KER Grace - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
41 BOIS Adele - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
42 KRASTEV Minna - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
43 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
44 SZETO Chloe - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
45 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 18%
46 XI Shining - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
47 SADIK HANA 1% 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
48 BILILIES Sophia 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
49 STONE Hava S. - 6% 26% 42% 22% 3%
49 GREENBAUM Ella K. - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
51 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 3% 23% 41% 27% 6%
52 LEE Hannah 1% 11% 36% 36% 14% 2%
53 ENDO Miyuki N. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
54 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
55 JUNG Irene - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2%
56 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
57 LU Elaine 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
58 DANK Dina - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
59 LEE Sophia 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
60 LU Amy 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
61 JOHNSON Lydia 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
62 NATHANSON Sammy E. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
63 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 1% 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
64 XIKES Katherine E. 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
65 YANG Ashley M. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
66 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
67 SATHYANATH Kailing - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
67 YANG Angelina LeLe 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
69 WIGGERS Susan Q. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
70 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 3% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
71 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
72 YUAN Greta - 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
73 FEARNS Zara A. - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
74 JULIEN Michelle - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
75 WEI Vivian W. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
76 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
77 FREEDMAN Janna N. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
77 CHANG Josephine S. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
79 ERIKSON Kira R. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
80 LIN Audrey J. - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
81 NATH Trisha 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
82 LIU Sophie 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
83 JEONG Katie 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
84 MCKEE Brynnley 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
85 BLUM Leah I. - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
86 GORMAN Victoria M. - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 9%
87 NYSTROM Sofia C. 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
88 CHANG Emily - 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
89 CHIN Elise 7% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
90 LIAO Siwen 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
90 KIM Marley I. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
92 MARYASH Samantha 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
93 WU Helen 2% 17% 34% 30% 14% 3% -
94 SHI Cathleen 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
95 HILD Nisha - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
96 JOHNSON Dagny L. - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
97 YU Zhiang 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
98 SUN Alyssa 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
99 CHANG Audrey 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
100 PRIEUR Lauren - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
101 WU Lanting 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
102 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
103 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
104 MATAIEV Natalie S. 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
105 MAKLIN Sofia 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
106 MOZHAEVA MARIA 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
107 FESTA Carina 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
108 CHIANG Emily 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
109 JOHNSTON Lily 21% 45% 27% 6% - -
110 SADOVA Olga 1% 43% 40% 14% 2% - -
111 CHEN Ashley 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
112 HURST Kennedy 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
112 BARNOVITZ Maya 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
114 LIM Jaslene 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
115 BAKER Audrey C. - 6% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
116 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
117 LIGH Erenei J. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
117 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
119 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
120 PAUL Lila - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
121 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
122 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
123 FANG Victoria W. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
124 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
125 LACSON Sarah - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
126 GRAFF Sophie 4% 23% 42% 25% 5% -
127 DAI Olivia 53% 38% 8% 1% - -
128 KNIGHT Skylar 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
129 NI Sharon 9% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
130 JEAN Olympe G. 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
131 LI Angela 31% 53% 15% 2% - -
132 REN Xinling 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
133 ELNATAN Mica A. 47% 44% 8% 1% - -
134 CHIN Sophia J. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
135 MANSPERGER Leena 1% 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
136 HOLMES Emma 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
137 HWANG Gabriela M. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
138 MANN Sophia J. 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
139 SCOTT Eve 44% 42% 12% 2% - - -
140 YANG Lea 6% 28% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
141 PANIGRAHI Emersen 32% 42% 20% 4% - - -
141 LEE Lauren 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
143 NOVICK Mia J. 3% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
144 SCHICK Veronica 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
145 LIN Nicole 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% - -
146 NGUYEN Ella 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
147 LIU Zhi Jun 13% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
148 LIM Jovine 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
149 MENKE Kavya I. 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
150 LUKASHENKO Angelina < 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
151 HE Lizbeth 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
152 HSU Mia Y. 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
153 SINHA Anika 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
154 ROBINSON Emerald 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
155 KANTIPUDI Shrika 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
155 LO JOCELYN 80% 18% 2% - - - -
157 BOLTON Eleksi M. 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
158 FANG sophie 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
158 LAGOON Miriam 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
158 YAO Rainie 54% 36% 8% 1% - - -
161 FAYETTE Mathilde 95% 5% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.