Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div II Women's Foil

Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
2 FERNANDES Thea 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
3 ROY Layla 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
3 MEI Sarah 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
5 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
6 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
7 WU Irene M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
8 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
9 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
10 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
11 LI Shuang 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
12 CANNON Lira J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
13 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
14 MI Aileen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
15 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
16 LONG Madeline M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
17 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
18 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
19 HUANG NATALIE 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
20 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
21 XIANG Emma 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
22 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
23 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
24 DU Hannah 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
25 KOROL Dana 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
26 HOBSON Ava 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
27 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
28 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
29 WEBB Ella 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
30 MI Anning 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 6%
31 YE Eileen 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
32 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
33 TAN Clarisse 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
34 WU Julianna Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
35 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
36 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
37 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
38 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
39 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
40 SLASKI Caroline O. 100% 93% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
41 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
42 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
43 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
44 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
45 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% -
46 GANDLURI Sreehitha (Sarah) 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
47 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
48 MADDOX Lacey E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
49 KETTELLE Molly 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
50 TOLBERT Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
51 COOPER Piper W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
52 KANG Jiyoon 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
53 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
54 RICHARDS Ella 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
55 RASO Olivia 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
56 LUO ZIWEN 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
57 SHA Yi Ling 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
58 DATLA Medha 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
59 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
60 LIN Victoria T. 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
61 MEYER Claudia 100% 95% 52% 14% 2% -
62 PARK Leah 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
63 KO Claire 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
64 BAWA Sahana 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
65 BASSIK Eva 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
66 JIANG Claire 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% 1% -
67 WANG Celine S. 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
68 ZHENG Zoe 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
69 GAO Anna 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
70 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
71 FULIGNI Isabella 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
72 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
73 ROHRING Anna 100% 83% 33% 6% 1% - -
74 WU Velyn 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
75 KUNDU TRISHA 100% 81% 31% 6% 1% - -
76 SA Milla 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
77 HERNANDEZ Veronica L. 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
78 YANICELLI Sloane 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
79 ROMANO Megan C. 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
80 LUH Mia P. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
81 EUH Jayme 100% 47% 8% 1% - - -
82 WATERS Samantha M. 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
83 DONG Emily 100% 17% 1% - - -
84 DHULIPALA Aparna 100% 33% 5% - - - -
85 SHAH Suhani 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
86 SPECTOR Eliana 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
86 HE Katherine 100% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.