Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Friday, April 22, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
2 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
3 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
5 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
6 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
7 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
8 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
9 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
10 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
11 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
12 OH Triton 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
13 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
14 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
15 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
16 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
17 LIM William J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
18 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
19 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
20 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
21 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
22 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
23 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
24 HONG Steven 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
25 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
26 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
27 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
28 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
29 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
30 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
31 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
32 ZENG Noah 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
33 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
34 LUO George F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
35 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
36 CRAIG Samuel 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
37 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
38 FENG Leo 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
39 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
40 XU Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
41 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
42 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
42 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
42 KUMAR Sachit 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
45 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
46 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 26%
47 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
48 PANDEY Neil 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
49 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
50 PENG Bryan 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
51 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
52 LIU Lawrence 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
53 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
53 KANG evan 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
55 GAO Albert 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
56 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
57 LEE Noah 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
58 PAN Alex 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
59 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
60 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
61 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
62 NG Jeremiah 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
63 ZHOU James Y. 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
64 BROU Inkosi 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
65 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% < 1% -
66 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
67 TAO Jeffrey 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 2%
68 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
69 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
70 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
71 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
72 SMINK Oliver 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
73 SINGH Angadh 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
74 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
75 HU Christopher 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
76 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
77 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
77 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
79 RAMANAN Govind 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
80 MEHTA Krish 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
81 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
82 JAIN Aniket 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
83 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
84 GINSBERG jordan 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% 1%
85 LIN Steve 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
86 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
87 GAO Marcus 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
88 ROBINSON William 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
89 LEONARD Charles 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
90 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
91 WANG Robert 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
92 KILGALLEN William 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
93 CHAN Aidan 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
93 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
93 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
96 SU Landon 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
96 DEPEW Spencer 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
98 LUHAN Zachary 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
99 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
100 HAN Edward 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 3% -
101 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
101 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
103 HUANG Connor 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
104 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
105 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
106 BOSITA Carson 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
107 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
107 MOL Justin 100% 36% 6% 1% - -
109 PI Alexander 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% -
110 BYON Julian 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
111 DEKA Tanush 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
112 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
113 FAYETTE Julien 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
114 MAY Griffin M. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
115 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
116 KIM Minhyeok 100% 98% 84% 51% 20% 4% -
117 KESSLER Nathan 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
118 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
119 VOSS Jeffer 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
120 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
121 GOLD Carter 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
122 CHENG Hong 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
123 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
124 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
125 SAVOY Luca 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
125 TANG Charles 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
127 DECK Tyson 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
128 TAUER Sam 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
129 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
130 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
130 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 79% 39% 12% 2% - -
132 SUN Ziyao 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
133 OLARIO Raphael 100% 31% 4% - - - -
134 FARIDI Imran 100% 35% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.