Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, April 22, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
2 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 RUSSO Francesca 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
5 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
6 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
7 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
8 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
9 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
10 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
11 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
12 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
13 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
14 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
15 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10%
16 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
17 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
18 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
19 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
20 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
21 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
22 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
23 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
24 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
25 KRASTEV Minna 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
26 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
27 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
28 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
29 BOIS Adele 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
30 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
31 LIN Audrey J. 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
32 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
33 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
33 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
35 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 16% 1%
36 LI Victoria J. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
37 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
38 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
39 SADIK HANA 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
40 CHANG Emily 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
41 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
42 STONE Hava S. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
43 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 3%
44 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
45 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
46 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
47 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
48 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
49 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
50 HARRILL Gillian N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
51 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
52 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
53 SUN Alyssa 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
54 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
55 KER Grace 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% -
56 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
57 WALTER Zsofia R. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
58 CHIN Erika J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7%
59 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
60 FANG Victoria W. 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
61 XI Shining 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
62 LEE Hannah 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
63 BILILIES Sophia 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
64 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9% 1%
65 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
66 YANG Ashley M. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
67 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
68 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
69 DUCKETT Madison 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
70 LACSON Sarah 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1%
71 LU Elaine 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
72 GHAYALOD reya 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
73 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
74 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
75 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
76 YUAN Greta 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
77 MENKE Kavya I. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
78 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
79 MARSEE Samantha 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
80 DANK Dina 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
81 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
82 JUNG Irene 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
83 PAUL Lila 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
84 HILD Nisha 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
85 SINHA Anika 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
86 LU Amy 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
87 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
88 YONG Erika E. 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
89 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 7%
90 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
91 CHIANG Emily 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
92 LIU Sophie 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
93 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
93 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
95 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
96 SHI Cathleen 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
97 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
98 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
99 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
99 NATH Trisha 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
101 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
102 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 90% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
103 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
104 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
104 TAO Hannah J. 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
106 WEI Vivian W. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
107 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.