Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
2 HURLEY Courtney L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
3 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
5 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
6 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
7 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
8 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
9 HURLEY Kelley A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
10 GU Sarah 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
11 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
12 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
13 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
14 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
15 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
16 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
17 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
18 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
19 WANG Karen 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
20 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
21 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
22 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
23 BEI Karen 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
24 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
25 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
26 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
27 YU Nicole J. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
28 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
29 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
30 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
31 REID Anousheh 100% 86% 45% 11% 1%
32 CHEN Lefu 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1%
33 WATRALL Christina 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
34 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
35 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
36 WANG Nora 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
37 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
38 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
39 MCLANE Lauren 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
40 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
41 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
42 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
43 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
44 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
45 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
46 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
47 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
48 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
49 LIU Christina A. 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
50 VERMEULE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
51 LUO Ashley 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
52 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
53 LU Junyao 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
54 ISERT Sarah 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
54 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
56 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
57 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 2%
58 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
59 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
60 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
61 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
62 YAO Melinda 100% 61% 17% 2% -
63 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
64 LONADIER Keira 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
65 KIM Zoe L. 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
66 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
66 NEMETH Katherine 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
68 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
69 WEBER Nora 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
70 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
71 KETKAR Mallika 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
72 CHENG Ava 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
73 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
74 LEUNG Natalie 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
75 WITTE Vera 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
76 WU Amelia 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
77 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
78 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
79 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
80 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
81 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
82 YANG Alisa 100% 69% 25% 5% - -
83 MAO Amy 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
84 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
84 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
86 DESAI Meera P. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
87 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
87 CHOI Eunice 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
87 FENG ge 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
90 GAO Judy 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
91 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
92 REID Sobia 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
93 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
94 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
95 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
96 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
97 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
98 LEE Yedda 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
99 WEISS Talia L. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.