Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
2 HURLEY Courtney L. - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
3 KETKAR Ketki - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
3 MACHULSKY Leehi - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
5 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
6 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
7 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
8 FALLON Kyle R. 2% 16% 40% 34% 8%
9 HURLEY Kelley A. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
10 GU Sarah - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 8%
11 GRADY Miriam A. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
12 JAKEL Sophia N. 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
13 PARK Faith K. - 2% 13% 41% 44%
14 WASHINGTON Isis - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
15 CEBULA Anne - - 2% 12% 29% 38% 19%
16 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
17 BASSA Francesca A. - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
18 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
19 WANG Karen - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
20 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
21 TOBY Natalia R. - 1% 5% 23% 45% 26%
22 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
23 BEI Karen - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
24 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
25 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
26 CAPELLUA Mariasole 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
27 YU Nicole J. 16% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
28 CALDERA Lexi I. 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
29 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - 5% 22% 38% 27% 6%
30 MEHROTRA Anya 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% -
31 REID Anousheh 14% 41% 34% 10% 1%
32 CHEN Lefu 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
33 WATRALL Christina 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
34 WANG Elizabeth - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
35 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
36 WANG Nora 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
37 JOYCE Michaela - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
38 PADHYE Tanishka 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
39 MCLANE Lauren 3% 19% 41% 30% 6%
40 CHU Audrey - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 2%
41 NGUYEN Tallulah 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
42 LIN Katie Y. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
43 KOMAR Sofia - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
44 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
45 LIN Jessica Y. - - 5% 21% 42% 31%
46 RUNIONS Emersyn 6% 25% 36% 25% 8% 1%
47 CHIN Isabella - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
48 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
49 LIU Christina A. 2% 12% 32% 36% 15% 2%
50 VERMEULE Emily - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
51 LUO Ashley 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
52 TYLER Syd - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
53 LU Junyao 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
54 ISERT Sarah 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
54 GAJJALA Sharika R. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
56 PAPADAKIS Lily 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
57 KUZNETSOV Victoria 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 2%
58 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
59 LEE Sumin - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
60 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
61 LAVERY Chloe K. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
62 YAO Melinda 39% 43% 15% 2% -
63 PEHLIVANI Zara 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
64 LONADIER Keira 31% 42% 22% 5% - -
65 KIM Zoe L. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
66 MUELLER Emma M. 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
66 NEMETH Katherine 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
68 PATURU Meghana - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
69 WEBER Nora 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
70 LEE Michelle J. - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
71 KETKAR Mallika 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
72 CHENG Ava 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
73 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
74 LEUNG Natalie 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
75 WITTE Vera 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
76 WU Amelia - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
77 ZIGALO Elizabeth 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
78 MILEWSKI Nicole 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
79 GUMAGAY Erika L. 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
80 ZHANG Victoria R. 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
81 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
82 YANG Alisa 31% 43% 20% 4% - -
83 MAO Amy 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
84 ZUHARS Renee A. 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
84 KORFONTA Jolie 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
86 DESAI Meera P. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
87 DOUGLAS Julia F. 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
87 CHOI Eunice 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
87 FENG ge 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
90 GAO Judy 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
91 DAVIS Jessica L. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
92 REID Sobia 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
93 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
94 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
95 SWENSON Nikita G. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
96 WITTER Catherine A. 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
97 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
98 LEE Yedda 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
99 WEISS Talia L. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.