Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WITEK Bernard J. - - - 1% 7% 33% 58%
2 AVAKIAN Alec - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
3 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
3 HAN William 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% 1%
5 CHOI Silas - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
6 LUO George F. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
7 GAO Albert 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
8 MURZYN III CJ - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
9 HOUTZ Jackson - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
10 RIGHTLER Samuel - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
11 XU Andrew - 1% 6% 22% 35% 28% 8%
12 HONG Vincent Q. - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
13 SILVA Daniel - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
14 MARGULIES William 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
15 LIU Lawrence 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
16 OH Triton 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
17 HOLZ Daniel - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
18 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - 1% 9% 26% 38% 23% 3%
19 SWORDS Evan F. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
20 BERGER Oliver - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
21 GHENEA George Philipe - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
22 GHAYALOD ansh - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
23 CHAVES Matthew J. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
24 XU Luke - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
25 CHENG Kyle 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
26 HONG Steven - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
27 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
28 HAN Daniel Y. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
29 DOLAN Charles R. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
30 ZHANG Jeffrey 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
31 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
32 CORTEZ Christopher - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
33 RAI Avin - - - - 2% 22% 76%
34 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
35 ZHU Charlie 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
36 SHANAHAN Adam E. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
37 CHEONG Heonjun - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
38 YANG Dylan 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2%
38 NOBLE Colin - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
40 BYON Adrian 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 3%
41 KIM Alexander M. - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
42 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 1% 7% 23% 35% 27% 8%
42 LIU Mingyang Ryan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
44 ZHOU Miles - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
45 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
46 DU Gavin J. - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
47 COLE Alexander - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
48 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
49 ARDOIN Cameron - 4% 19% 37% 32% 8%
50 SCHERER Max 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
51 KIM Matthew - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
52 ZHANG Ethan W. 1% 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
53 FERNANDEZ Liam 10% 29% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
54 SANDERS Samuel B. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
55 BEITEL Noah - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
56 PAN Alex 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
57 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
58 ZHANG Yupeng 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
59 REN Richard 1% 6% 22% 35% 28% 8%
59 HAN Edward 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
61 LU Caleb Q. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
62 WONG James T. 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
63 SUPLICO Enrico Lucio 10% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
64 TAO Jeffrey 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
65 ZHENG Edward L. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
66 XUE ALEXANDER - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
67 KROON Lucas 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
68 DELARUE NELSON Y. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
69 BAUER Hank E. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
70 SCHARDINE James - 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
71 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) - 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
72 HU Christopher - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
73 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
74 GLOZMAN Justin 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
75 LIN Steve 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
76 DEKA Tanush 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
77 CLARK Keagan 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
78 ZHOU James Y. 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
79 YOU Jaden 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
80 FLOT Tai A. - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
81 YANG Duncan (BoTong) - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 13%
82 GINSBERG jordan 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
83 LIM William J. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
83 ZHANG Derek - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
85 BALDWIN Michael B. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
86 BYON Julian 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
87 NG Jeremiah - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
88 SAVOY Luca 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
89 WEBER Mattias A. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
90 BOSITA Carson 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
91 ZENG Noah 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
92 ZHUANG Rayken 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
93 LEITH Jack 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
94 FIELDS Matthew S. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
95 KUMAR Sachit 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
96 HUANG Connor 6% 25% 36% 25% 8% 1%
97 PIWOWAR Alex 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
98 RAMANAN Jaisimh 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
99 SINGH Angadh - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
100 ROBINSON William 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
101 CAISSE Simon B. 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
102 KLEBS Robert 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
103 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
104 HUANG Zekai 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
105 CRAIG Samuel 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
106 MOL Spencer 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
107 BONSELL Vance 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
108 DECK Tyson 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
109 DILLE Jackson K. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
110 NARANJO David E. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
111 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
112 RAMANAN Govind 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
113 PI Alexander 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
114 HONG Rubin 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
115 FORT David 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
116 ARTIS II Ron 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
117 MEHTA Krish 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
118 POSY Daniel 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
119 CHAN Aidan 17% 37% 30% 13% 3% - -
120 TANG Anzheng 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
121 JAIN Aniket 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
121 MAUREL Nicolas 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
123 MAY Griffin M. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
123 DEPEW Spencer 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
125 MOL Justin 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
126 LIPPMAN Eli 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
127 KIM-COGAN Ryan < 1% - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
128 MOULTON Ian 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
129 JAYASANKAR Hari 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
130 FARIDI Imran 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
131 LEONARD Charles 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
132 KAPOOR Tanmay 15% 46% 30% 8% 1% - -
133 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
134 WIGGS Andrew 18% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.