Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
3 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
3 HAN William 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
5 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
6 LUO George F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
7 GAO Albert 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
8 MURZYN III CJ 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
9 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
10 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
11 XU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
12 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
13 SILVA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
14 MARGULIES William 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
15 LIU Lawrence 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
16 OH Triton 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
17 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
18 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 3%
19 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
20 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
21 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10%
22 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
23 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
24 XU Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
25 CHENG Kyle 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
26 HONG Steven 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
27 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
28 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
29 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
30 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
31 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 99% 93% 71% 39% 12% 2%
32 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
33 RAI Avin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
34 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
35 ZHU Charlie 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
36 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
37 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
38 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 92% 69% 37% 11% 2%
38 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
40 BYON Adrian 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
41 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
42 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
42 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
44 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
45 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
46 DU Gavin J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
47 COLE Alexander 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
48 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
49 ARDOIN Cameron 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
50 SCHERER Max 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
51 KIM Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
52 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
53 FERNANDEZ Liam 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
54 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
55 BEITEL Noah 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
56 PAN Alex 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1%
57 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
58 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
59 REN Richard 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
59 HAN Edward 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
61 LU Caleb Q. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
62 WONG James T. 100% 90% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
63 SUPLICO Enrico Lucio 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
64 TAO Jeffrey 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
65 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
66 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
67 KROON Lucas 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
68 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
69 BAUER Hank E. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
70 SCHARDINE James 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
71 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
72 HU Christopher 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
73 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
74 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
75 LIN Steve 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
76 DEKA Tanush 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
77 CLARK Keagan 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
78 ZHOU James Y. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
79 YOU Jaden 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
80 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
81 YANG Duncan (BoTong) 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
82 GINSBERG jordan 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
83 LIM William J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
83 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
85 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8% -
86 BYON Julian 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
87 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
88 SAVOY Luca 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
89 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
90 BOSITA Carson 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
91 ZENG Noah 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
92 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
93 LEITH Jack 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
94 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
95 KUMAR Sachit 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
96 HUANG Connor 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
97 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
98 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
99 SINGH Angadh 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 16% 1%
100 ROBINSON William 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
101 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
102 KLEBS Robert 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
103 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
104 HUANG Zekai 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
105 CRAIG Samuel 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
106 MOL Spencer 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
107 BONSELL Vance 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
108 DECK Tyson 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
109 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
110 NARANJO David E. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
111 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
112 RAMANAN Govind 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
113 PI Alexander 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
114 HONG Rubin 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
115 FORT David 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
116 ARTIS II Ron 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
117 MEHTA Krish 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
118 POSY Daniel 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
119 CHAN Aidan 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
120 TANG Anzheng 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
121 JAIN Aniket 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
121 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
123 MAY Griffin M. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
123 DEPEW Spencer 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
125 MOL Justin 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
126 LIPPMAN Eli 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
127 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
128 MOULTON Ian 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
129 JAYASANKAR Hari 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
130 FARIDI Imran 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
131 LEONARD Charles 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
132 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
133 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
134 WIGGS Andrew 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.