Arnold Fencing Classic

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Friday, March 1, 2019 at 2:30 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ORR Spencer 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 12% 1%
2 DERBAUM Ryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
3 UPTON Sydney 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
3 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
6 DAVIES Ellie 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
7 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
8 COLON Ian 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
9 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
10 BURBERRY Alan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
11 LAI Twayne 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
12 ZHUANG Sophie 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
13 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
14 ROEVER Sean M. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
15 POLONSKI Anthony 100% 96% 78% 47% 19% 4% -
16 BURBERRY Livia 100% 95% 71% 34% 10% 1% -
17 SKOURLETOS Maria 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
18 SPIEWACKI Joshua 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
19 LEE Fiona E. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
20 GRAFFAGNINO Jack 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
21 ZHANG Zoe 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
22 SALMAN Samiya 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
23 PRAIRIE Beatrix 100% 97% 82% 53% 23% 6% 1%
24 RIBAS FERNANDO 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
26 TAYLOR Juliana E. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
27 CYMBALAK Sebastian 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
28 HARRELL Brendan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.