January NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, January 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOTELLO Natalia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
2 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
3 STONE Anne-Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
3 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 28%
5 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
6 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
7 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
8 KUDRIAVTSEVA Daria 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
9 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
10 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 8%
11 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% -
12 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 10% 1%
13 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
14 YUN Joy 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 44% 10%
15 LI Amanda C. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
16 ADYNSKI Gillian I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
17 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
18 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
19 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
20 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
21 BENTOLILA Esther 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
22 GHAYALOD reya 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
23 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
24 MIKA Veronica 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
25 LIN Audrey J. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
26 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
26 GORDON Tamar 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
28 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
29 MARSEE Samantha 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
30 MOYA Keona L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
31 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
32 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
33 KRASTEV Minna 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% < 1%
34 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 16% 1%
35 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
36 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
37 HILD Nisha 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
38 PAUL Lila 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
39 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
40 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
41 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
42 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
43 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
43 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
43 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
46 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
47 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
48 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
49 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
50 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
51 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
52 HANADARI-LEVY Amit 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
53 HARRILL Gillian N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
54 THEODORE Maria A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
55 LACSON Sarah 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
56 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
57 CHANG Emily 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 3% -
58 HONE Katarina G. 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
59 SZETO Chloe 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
60 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
61 JUNG Irene 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
62 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
63 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 94% 69% 33% 10% 1% -
64 SADIK HANA 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
65 BRIND'AMOUR Pamela 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
66 YONG Erika E. 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
67 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 22%
68 YODER Bridget H. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
69 STONE Hava S. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
70 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
71 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
72 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
73 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
74 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
75 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
76 GUZMAN Mariana M. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
77 WU Erica L. 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
78 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
79 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
80 NEIBART Fiona 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
81 TIMOFEYEV Daniella 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
82 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
82 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
84 KER Grace 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
85 LIANG Megan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
86 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
87 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
88 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
89 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
90 KIM Catherine 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
91 HURST Kennedy 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
92 FANG Victoria W. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
93 BILILIES Sophia 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
94 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 2% -
95 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 1%
96 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
97 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
98 LI Victoria J. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
98 CHIANG Emily 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
100 CHING Sapphira S. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
100 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
100 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
103 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
104 KALRA Himani V. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
105 DRAGON Rainer 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
106 CHEN Jane 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
107 PRIESTLEY Catherine (Cate) C. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
107 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
109 WANG Elysia 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
110 KYNETT Kathryn G. 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
111 HE Charlotte 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
112 XU Ellen 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
113 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
114 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
115 GLUCK Myriam 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
116 SHEA Erin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
117 HOLMES Emma 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
118 SINHA Anika 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
119 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -
120 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
121 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
122 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 71% 19% 2% - - -
123 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
124 WU Zoe 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
125 CHEN Xinyan 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
125 SUN Alyssa 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
127 DEMING Clare L. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
127 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 86% 48% 13% 2% - -
129 DUNLAP Allison N. 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
129 NGUYEN Thi 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.