January NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, January 8, 2022 at 12:00 PM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 LEONARD Ariane 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
3 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
5 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
6 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
7 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
8 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
9 ISERT Sarah 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
10 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 8%
11 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
12 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
13 NING Emma 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
14 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
15 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
16 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
17 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 4% < 1%
18 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
19 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
20 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
21 GAVRIELKO Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 12%
22 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 8%
22 XIAO Ruien 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
24 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
25 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
26 GU Sarah 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
27 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
28 HU Grace 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
29 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
30 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
31 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
32 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
33 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
34 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
35 WANG Karen 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
36 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
37 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
38 CHU Audrey 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
39 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
40 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
41 CHORNIY Kateryna 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
42 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
43 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
44 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
45 BEI Karen 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 2%
46 MAO Amy 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
47 NI Emma 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10% 1%
48 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
49 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
50 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
51 LIU Christina A. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
52 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
53 WEBER Nora 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
54 LUO Ashley 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
55 MILLETTE Marie Frederique 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
56 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
56 RUEDA Rylie 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
58 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
58 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
60 DOUGLAS Elizabeth (Liz) L. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
61 LU Junyao 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
62 DESAI Meera P. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
63 HAMILTON Pauline S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
64 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
65 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
66 WU Amelia 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
67 LEUNG Natalie 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
68 GAO Judy 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
69 WANG Nora 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
70 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
71 PARKER Allegra H. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
72 LIN Waiyuk 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
73 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
73 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
75 RATH Lauren N. 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% - -
76 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
77 BOUDREAU Justine 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
78 ZHENG Evelyn 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
79 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
80 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
81 VERA Kalista R. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
82 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
83 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
84 VAN MARION Kirsten C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
85 WELLS Tessa M. 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% 1% -
86 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
87 SUN Renee R. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
88 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
89 CHEN Lefu 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
90 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
91 WEISS Talia L. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
91 DING Jiahe (Heidi) 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 8%
93 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
94 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 6%
95 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
96 KAIN Isabel J. 100% 95% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
97 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
98 PAN Michelle 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
99 REID Anousheh 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
100 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
101 HAWKINS Laura A. 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
101 KIM Jayna 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
103 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
104 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
105 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
106 LONADIER Keira 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
107 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
107 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
109 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
110 REID Sobia 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
110 MING Cynthia 100% 74% 30% 6% - - -
112 FELAND Alexandra 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
113 YIN Julia 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
114 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
115 LEE Natasha 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
116 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
116 SLACKMAN Valerie 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
118 KIM Zoe L. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
119 LEE Olive 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
120 SMIK Leonie A. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
121 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
122 POLANICHKA Nicole P. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
123 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 100% 89% 59% 25% 7% 1% -
124 SHEN Stephanie 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
125 KALE Anika A. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
126 LAN Alice S. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
127 MILLER Veronica 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
128 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
128 LI Charlotte 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
130 RASMUSSEN Ashelee 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
131 BARBARA Camille 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
132 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
133 LI Alisha 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
134 UYANIK Nerine 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
135 ASSADOURIAN Nouneh 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
136 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
137 JOBALIA Ria 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 7% -
137 HUELLAS-BRUSKIEWICZ Marie-Rose R. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.