The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Learn More

Event Results

Junior Women's Saber

January NACSurprise Map

Sunday, January 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM San Jose, CA, USA
141 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. V V V V V D V V V V V V 5.2 5 -0.2
2 GREENBAUM Atara R. V V V D V V V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
3 PAK Kaitlyn V V D V V D V V V V V D 5.1 4 -1.1
3 KIM Zoe V D V V V V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
5 POSSICK Lola P. V V V V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
6 ZUO Xiaofan D V V V V V V V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
7 BOTELLO Natalia V V V V D V V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
8 TONG Kunling V D D V V V V V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
9 SHOMAN Jenna V V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
10 HARRISON Imogen N. V V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
11 LACSON Sarah V V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
12 KOVACS Sophia V V V V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
13 OISHI Megumi V V V D V V V V V D 5.0 5 -
14 LIN Audrey J. V D V D V V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
15 GORDON Tamar V V V D V D V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
16 CALLAHAN Chase J. V V V D D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
17 CARVALHO Isabela A. D V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
18 GUTHIKONDA Nithya V D V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
19 NEWELL Alexia C. V V D V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
20 OLSEN Natalie J. V V V V D V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
21 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. V D V V V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
22 SZETO Chloe V V D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
23 BLUM Leah I. D V V V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
24 GORMAN Victoria M. V V V D V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
25 CHEN Jane V V V D V V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
26 LEE Alexandra B. V V D D V V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
27 BOIS Adele V D V V V D V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
28 GOUHIN Chloe V D V D V V V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
29 LI Victoria J. V V V D D V V V D 4.0 4 -
30 BUHAY Rachel T. V V V D D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
31 SUN Alyssa D D D V V V V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
32 MARSEE Samantha D D D V V V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
33 DELSOIN Chelsea C. V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
34 MIKA Veronica V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
35 ANDRES Charmaine G. V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
36 BAKER Audrey C. V D V V V V D 2.4 5 +2.6
37 LU Amy V V V V D V D 3.6 5 +1.4
38 WILLIAMS Chloe C. V V V D V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
39 ENDO Miyuki N. V V V V V D V D 2.8 5 +2.2
40 WU Erica L. V V V D V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
41 SADIK HANA V V V V V D V D 2.7 5 +2.3
42 TZOU Alexandra D V V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
43 FOUR-GARCIA Madison V V V D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
44 ANDRES Katherine A. D V V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
45 FREEDMAN Janna N. D V V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
45 KRASTEV Minna V D D V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
47 HE Charlotte D V V V V D V D 3.7 4 +0.3
48 CHIOLDI Mina D V D V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
49 LU Vivian Y. V V V D D V V D 5.3 4 -1.3
50 VESTEL Mira B. V V D D V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
51 YANG Ashley M. D V V V D V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
52 LIANG Megan D V D V V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
53 BALAKUMARAN Maya V D D V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
54 CAO Stephanie X. V D V D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
55 YONG Erika E. V V D D V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
56 GHAYALOD reya V D V V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
57 PRIEUR Lauren D D V V V D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
58 TAO Hannah J. V D D V D V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
59 JOHNSON Lauren V D D V D V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
60 JUNG Irene D D V V V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
61 SHI Cathleen D V D V D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
62 KALRA Himani V. D D V V D D V D 3.9 2 -1.9
63 ERIKSON Kira R. D V V D D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
64 NEIBART Fiona D D D D V V D 1.9 1 -0.9
65 HWANG Gabriela M. V V V D V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
66 FANG Victoria W. V V D V V D 2.3 4 +1.7
67 PAUL Lila V V V V D D D 3.6 4 +0.4
68 KIM Catherine V V V D V D D 4.0 4 -
69 GREENBAUM Ella K. D V V V V D D 4.5 4 -0.5
70 SINHA Anika D V V V V D D 2.3 4 +1.7
71 CHING Sapphira S. V V D V V D D 4.0 4 -
72 MOYA Keona L. V V D V V D D 4.7 4 -0.7
73 CHIN Sophia J. V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
74 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. V V D D V V D 1.7 4 +2.3
75 NOVICK Mia J. V D V V D D 1.6 3 +1.4
76 JULIEN Michelle V D V V D D 3.4 3 -0.4
77 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. D D V D V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
77 XU Ellen D V D V V D D 3.5 3 -0.5
79 FEARNS Zara A. V V D V D D D 3.6 3 -0.6
80 LIU Sophie D V D D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
81 HILD Nisha V D V V D D D 3.6 3 -0.6
82 NYSTROM Sofia C. D V V D D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
83 STONE Hava S. V D V D D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
84 COLTER Aurora V V D V D D D 1.1 3 +1.9
85 WU Helen V D D D V V D 1.8 3 +1.2
86 CHIN Erika J. D V D V D D 3.5 2 -1.5
87 BILILIES Sophia D V D V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
88 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. V D D V D D 3.4 2 -1.4
89 LI Amanda C. V D V D D D 3.8 2 -1.8
90 BARNOVITZ Maya V D V D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
91 HOLMES Emma V D D V D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
92 CHANG Emily V D D D V D D 3.0 2 -1.0
93 CODY Alexandra C. D V D V D D D 3.4 2 -1.4
94 SADOVA Olga D D D V V D D 1.5 2 +0.5
95 BEVACQUA Aria F. V D D D D V D 3.3 2 -1.3
95 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika D V D D V D D 2.6 2 -0.6
97 BENOIT Adelaide L. V D D V D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
98 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. V D V D D D D 2.4 2 -0.4
99 KER Grace D D V D D V D 3.7 2 -1.7
99 MOZHAEVA MARIA D D V D D V D 4.0 2 -2.0
99 LIU Sydney D D D V D V D 1.3 2 +0.7
102 DAVIS Jayna M. D D V V D D D 2.0 2 -
103 HUANG MADELINE V D D D V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
104 NGUYEN Siena D V V D D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
105 ZHANG Rongruo D D V V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
105 CHANG Audrey V D V D D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
107 TUNG Renee D D V D D V D 1.0 2 +1.0
108 DEPEW Charlotte R. D V D D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
109 LIGH Erenei J. D V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
110 YANG Lea D D V D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
111 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
112 HURST Kennedy V D D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
113 CHEN Xinyan D D D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
114 CHIN Elise D D D D V 1.0 1 -
115 TONG Jessie D D D D V 0.8 1 +0.2
116 YANG Angelina LeLe D V D D D D 2.9 1 -1.9
117 BARTON Mele D D D D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
118 RAMIREZ Mirka A. D D V D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
119 HU Michelle D D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
119 PENG Florella D D D D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
121 CHIANG Emily D D V D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
122 TSE Angelina D D D D D V 2.8 1 -1.8
123 EVANS Madelynn D D V D D D 0.7 1 +0.3
123 PANIGRAHI Kingsley D D V D D D 0.5 1 +0.5
125 WU Lanting V D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
126 WEI Vivian W. D D D D D V 2.4 1 -1.4
127 MULAGARI Sadhika D D D V D D 1.0 1 -
128 IYER Arushi D V D D D D 0.1 1 +0.9
129 NGUYEN Ella D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
130 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
130 TSAI Anna A. D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
132 ZENG Megan D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
133 YAO Rainie D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
134 CHAN ava D D D D D D 0.1 0 -0.1
135 MORAN Rhea D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
135 CHO Michelle D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
135 CHEN Athena D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
138 KIM Elyssa D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
139 ELNATAN Mica A. D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
140 GOSAVI Aabolee D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
141 TURIANO Nadelle D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%