January NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, January 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - 2% 16% 42% 39%
2 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - 2% 15% 40% 42%
3 PAK Kaitlyn - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
3 KIM Zoe - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
5 POSSICK Lola P. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
6 ZUO Xiaofan 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
7 BOTELLO Natalia - - - 3% 27% 70%
8 TONG Kunling - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
9 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 1% 12% 41% 45%
10 HARRISON Imogen N. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
11 LACSON Sarah - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
12 KOVACS Sophia - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
13 OISHI Megumi - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
14 LIN Audrey J. - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
15 GORDON Tamar - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
16 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
17 CARVALHO Isabela A. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
18 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
19 NEWELL Alexia C. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
20 OLSEN Natalie J. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
21 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
22 SZETO Chloe - 2% 16% 43% 34% 5%
23 BLUM Leah I. - 1% 9% 34% 42% 14%
24 GORMAN Victoria M. - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
25 CHEN Jane 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
26 LEE Alexandra B. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
27 BOIS Adele - - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11%
28 GOUHIN Chloe - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
29 LI Victoria J. - - 6% 24% 41% 24% 4%
30 BUHAY Rachel T. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
31 SUN Alyssa 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
32 MARSEE Samantha - 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
33 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
34 MIKA Veronica - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
35 ANDRES Charmaine G. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
36 BAKER Audrey C. - 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
37 LU Amy - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
38 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
39 ENDO Miyuki N. 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
40 WU Erica L. - - 6% 26% 41% 22% 3%
41 SADIK HANA 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
42 TZOU Alexandra - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
43 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - 2% 18% 45% 34%
44 ANDRES Katherine A. - 2% 18% 44% 32% 4%
45 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
45 KRASTEV Minna - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
47 HE Charlotte - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
48 CHIOLDI Mina - 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
49 LU Vivian Y. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
50 VESTEL Mira B. - 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
51 YANG Ashley M. - 4% 19% 34% 30% 11% 2%
52 LIANG Megan - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
53 BALAKUMARAN Maya 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
54 CAO Stephanie X. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
55 YONG Erika E. - 1% 12% 39% 37% 10%
56 GHAYALOD reya 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
57 PRIEUR Lauren 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
58 TAO Hannah J. - - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6%
59 JOHNSON Lauren - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
60 JUNG Irene 1% 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
61 SHI Cathleen 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
62 KALRA Himani V. - - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
63 ERIKSON Kira R. - 15% 44% 31% 9% 1% -
64 NEIBART Fiona 5% 27% 44% 20% 3% -
65 HWANG Gabriela M. - 4% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
66 FANG Victoria W. 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
67 PAUL Lila - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
68 KIM Catherine - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
69 GREENBAUM Ella K. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
70 SINHA Anika 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
71 CHING Sapphira S. - - 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
72 MOYA Keona L. - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
73 CHIN Sophia J. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
74 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 9% 34% 41% 14% 2% - -
75 NOVICK Mia J. 7% 38% 40% 13% 2% -
76 JULIEN Michelle - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
77 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. - 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 3%
77 XU Ellen - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
79 FEARNS Zara A. - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
80 LIU Sophie - 3% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1%
81 HILD Nisha - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
82 NYSTROM Sofia C. 1% 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
83 STONE Hava S. - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
84 COLTER Aurora 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
85 WU Helen 8% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
86 CHIN Erika J. - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
87 BILILIES Sophia 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
88 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
89 LI Amanda C. - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
90 BARNOVITZ Maya 16% 45% 31% 7% 1% -
91 HOLMES Emma - 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
92 CHANG Emily 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
93 CODY Alexandra C. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
94 SADOVA Olga 3% 52% 36% 8% 1% - -
95 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
95 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
97 BENOIT Adelaide L. - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
98 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 1% 14% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
99 KER Grace - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
99 MOZHAEVA MARIA - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
99 LIU Sydney 17% 48% 28% 6% 1% - -
102 DAVIS Jayna M. 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
103 HUANG MADELINE 4% 33% 39% 19% 5% 1% -
104 NGUYEN Siena 7% 56% 30% 6% 1% - -
105 ZHANG Rongruo 8% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
105 CHANG Audrey 10% 40% 35% 13% 2% - -
107 TUNG Renee 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
108 DEPEW Charlotte R. 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
109 LIGH Erenei J. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
110 YANG Lea 38% 43% 16% 3% - -
111 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 5% 32% 44% 17% 2% -
112 HURST Kennedy 4% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1%
113 CHEN Xinyan 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
114 CHIN Elise 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
115 TONG Jessie 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
116 YANG Angelina LeLe - 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
117 BARTON Mele 21% 45% 28% 6% 1% - -
118 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 7% 36% 38% 16% 3% - -
119 HU Michelle 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
119 PENG Florella 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
121 CHIANG Emily 1% 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
122 TSE Angelina - 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% -
123 EVANS Madelynn 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
123 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
125 WU Lanting 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
126 WEI Vivian W. 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
127 MULAGARI Sadhika 25% 50% 22% 3% - - -
128 IYER Arushi 92% 8% - - - - -
129 NGUYEN Ella 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
130 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
130 TSAI Anna A. 34% 46% 17% 3% - - -
132 ZENG Megan 42% 43% 13% 1% - -
133 YAO Rainie 45% 44% 11% 1% - - -
134 CHAN ava 92% 8% - - - - -
135 MORAN Rhea 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
135 CHO Michelle 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
135 CHEN Athena 64% 31% 5% - - - -
138 KIM Elyssa 85% 15% 1% - - - -
139 ELNATAN Mica A. 63% 32% 5% - - -
140 GOSAVI Aabolee 77% 21% 2% - - - -
141 TURIANO Nadelle 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.