Event Results
Arnold Fencing ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TAQI Ahmad F. | V D V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 2 | PEDERSEN Trevor | V V V V D | V V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | ROMANOV Michael | V D V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 3 | O'BRIEN Jack K. | V V D V D | V V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 5 | CANNON Caiden | V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 6 | SPEVAK Alexander | V V D V V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 7 | BRATTON Jack S. | V V D V V | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 8 | BARLETTA Joseph | V V V D V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 9 | HERGAN Daniel | V V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 10 | PITCHER Skylar L. | D V V V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 11 | ANDERSON David C. | D V V D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 12 | HAY Gavin | D V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 13 | JACOBS Tyler M. | V D V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 14 | LI Simon A. | V V V D D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 15 | ROBINSON Keegan | V D D D V | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 16 | WATERS Will T. | V D D V D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 17 | RITCHIE Luke W. | D V V V V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 18 | HAYENGA Gary M. | V V V V D | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 19 | CHITU Julian S. | D V V D V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 20 | WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew | V D V V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 21 | MAHDI Mahdi | V D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 22 | PETREE Justin | D D V D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 23 | FREEMAN Paris | D V D V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 24 | WHITE-ROY Nolan | D D V D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 25 | RYAN Connor Q. | D D D V V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 26 | SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. | D D V D V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 27 | GU Jeffrey | D V D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 28 | ROAT Kyle A. | D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 29 | ANEZ Daniel A. | V D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 30 | HARDMAN III Harry C. | D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 31 | KARAUSKY Joshua C. | D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 31 | GHAZALI Omer | D D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 33 | HAINES Ethan | D V D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 34 | JUSCINSKI Michal | D V D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 35 | BLACKLEDGE Michael | D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |