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Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, February 26, 2022 at 3:00 PM

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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHEN Allison V.	-	-	-	1%	7%	32%	60%
2	CHO Rebecca H.	-	-	-	-	5%	35%	59%
3	LEE Lavender	-	-	2%	18%	46%	34%
3	SHENG Chuxi	-	1%	8%	26%	36%	23%	5%
5	AMR HOSSNY Sara	-	-	-	6%	35%	59%
6	YURKOVA Mariia	-	1%	10%	29%	36%	20%	4%
7	ZHOU Catherine	-	2%	14%	37%	34%	12%	1%
8	SHIM Grace	-	2%	12%	30%	36%	18%	2%
9	CHEN Renee	-	-	2%	15%	37%	36%	11%
10	SOLDATOVA Maria	-	-	3%	26%	48%	22%
11	CHOW Annabelle	-	-	1%	7%	29%	49%	15%
12	CASCONE Emily	-	-	3%	16%	34%	34%	12%
13	ZHENG Julie	-	1%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
14	MARKOVSKY Nina	-	2%	12%	29%	36%	18%	2%
15	SHA Yi Ling	-	-	9%	41%	39%	10%
16	JIANG Claire	2%	25%	49%	22%	3%	-
17	YANG Iris	-	1%	8%	35%	45%	11%
18	WEI Angela	2%	17%	38%	32%	11%	1%	-
19	CHARALEL Jessica	-	9%	28%	35%	21%	6%	1%
20	WANG Sabrina	11%	31%	35%	18%	4%	-	-
20	RICHARD Clara	3%	23%	40%	27%	7%	1%	-
22	RICHARD Dominique	12%	32%	34%	17%	4%	-	-
23	KAPUSTINA Arina	-	2%	19%	46%	28%	4%
24	PAULUS Isabella	6%	45%	39%	9%	1%	-
25	LI Eleanor	19%	56%	23%	2%	-	-
26	LEE emily	1%	14%	36%	35%	13%	2%	-
27	ZHAO Aileen Y.	-	-	< 1%	3%	19%	43%	34%
28	YANG Lingting	-	2%	15%	33%	32%	14%	2%
29	SMIDA Julia	11%	35%	37%	15%	3%	-	-
30	DALBERG Meadow	62%	34%	4%	-	-	-
31	LEVY Avery	-	3%	16%	37%	34%	9%	1%
32	PAULUS Sloane	2%	23%	54%	19%	2%	-
33	YU Jane	34%	44%	19%	3%	-	-	-
34	LIN Victoria T.	2%	11%	29%	34%	19%	5%	-
35	STENGER Julia	6%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
36	NEUMAN Sophie	6%	25%	36%	24%	8%	1%	-
37	LIU Long	78%	20%	1%	-	-	-
38	GAZTANAGA Ana	7%	31%	39%	19%	3%	-	-
39	SNYDERS Evelyn	61%	32%	6%	1%	-	-	-
40	HIMMEL Alexandra	57%	38%	5%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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