The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Peachtree Battle RYC ROC/RJCC/Veteran/Chairfencing

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 30, 2022 at 4:00 PM

GEORGIA INTERNATIONAL CONVENTION CENTER - College Park, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMMES Jackson - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
2 MODANLOU Navid - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
3 CORBIN Bennett 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
3 MOORE Alexander - 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5%
5 ZAHRAN Aiden - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
6 OSBORN Hunter - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
7 CARTY JR Johndale - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
8 GONZALEZ Aaron M - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
9 BANSAL Arjun - - 3% 17% 39% 35% 6%
10 AYOTTE James 1% 10% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
11 POSADA Maximo - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
12 CHA Patrick 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
13 TWEMLOW Sacha 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
14 VOLKOV Anthony - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
15 JIANG Harry 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
16 KROPP Wesley 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
17 LIDSKY Phineas - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
18 NAM Nathaniel 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
19 KIM Julian 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
20 LEE Christopher 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
21 KANG Roy - 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
22 FONG Henry 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
23 GONZALEZ Gavin - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
23 KRAYEV Lev 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
25 GEURTSEN Henry 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
26 ZENG Albert 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
27 CHANG Matthew 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.