55th Annual Green Gator

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 13, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Southwest Recreation Center - gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 96% 55%
2 DULISSE ALeX 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
3 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 37%
3 LANGENDERFER Braeden 100% 100% 99% 81% 28%
5 ALVIOR Jacob A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
6 PROVATAS Eustratios 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
7 RUETSCHI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 22%
8 PACILIO Jacob 100% 100% 95% 69% 24% 3%
9 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 42%
10 BAKSA Frances E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 18%
10 EVANS Grant 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
12 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
13 LEVENTHAL Michael 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
14 BRETON Anthony 100% 99% 78% 37% 9% 1%
15 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 17%
16 MURRAY Kerk 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
18 ANDREA Nathan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
19 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
20 YACCINO Nino 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 5%
21 WOLF Christopher 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
22 COVERT Benjamin 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 2%
23 MILLER Jonathan 100% 95% 62% 20% 2% -
24 CHO Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
25 LEADBETTER Gordon 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
26 LE Kevin 100% 100% 97% 80% 36% 2%
26 ROMERO KURI Celeste 100% 97% 79% 38% 8% -
28 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
29 GASPAR Paula 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
30 KOKA Ashwin 100% 99% 88% 40% 6% -
31 RIGGINS James 100% 58% 12% 1% -
32 LOUIS David 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
33 SANDERS Charlotte 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 1%
34 BEREKHOVSKI Andrei 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
35 SANCHEZ Carlos 100% 98% 85% 49% 11% 1%
36 WEDDLE Carson 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
37 FREEMAN Zachary 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1%
38 MIHALIK Alva 100% 93% 64% 26% 4% -
39 JOHNSTON Kellan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
40 MIA Raj 100% 91% 55% 16% 1% -
41 HEINZE Luke H. 100% 100% 88% 55% 19% 3%
42 PETERS Micah 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
43 GOLDSON Tyrese 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
43 RODA Thaleia 100% 97% 75% 32% 6% -
45 COMER John 100% 70% 18% 1% -
46 GRAHAM Caleb 100% 99% 89% 51% 8% -
47 DINKINS Adam 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
48 FORTIER Adriana 100% 88% 44% 9% 1% -
49 RILEY Grace 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
50 BEASLEY Emma 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
51 LIU Nick 100% 78% 33% 6% - -
51 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
51 DE SOLO Elizabeth 100% 80% 20% 2% - -
54 CULLEN Reilly 100% 96% 69% 16% 1%
55 MCCREARY Madeleine 100% 40% 7% - - -
56 KOSSMANN Raymond 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
57 ROZET Alice 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
58 LEWIS Katherine 100% 88% 35% 5% - -
59 RASSEL John 100% 88% 41% 9% 1% -
59 TANGUAY Brooke 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% -
62 HAYES Zackery 100% 83% 35% 6% - -
64 POPOLA Genevieve 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% -
64 WILFORD Madigan 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
66 FRANCA Dillon 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.