January Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 30, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Davis Fencing Academy - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MEINHOLD Li 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 25%
2 HEDGES Philip 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
3 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 84% 30% 3%
3 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 3%
5 GREEN Jabreel 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
6 MILLER Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
7 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
8 RYAN Chris 100% 89% 48% 13% 1% -
9 MING Nathan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
10 MA Katelyn 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
11 KUO Michael 100% 90% 52% 11% 1% -
12 ANGADALA Leela Krishna 100% 96% 63% 21% 3% -
13 FERRER Alison 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
14 SMAY Joe 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
15 KUO Rylan 100% 85% 39% 8% 1% -
15 BARNETT Devin 100% 76% 28% 2% - -
17 MADRID Betsy 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
18 HEINS Dylan 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.