The Durkan Rooster Div 1A ROC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, May 22, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Durkan Fencing Academy - Garfield, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	TAO Hannah J.	-	1%	7%	26%	41%	25%
2	GHOSH Priyanka	-	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	25%
3	VADASZ Ibla P.	-	-	5%	19%	36%	31%	9%
3	YANG Ashley M.	-	-	1%	9%	30%	43%	16%
5	LI Amanda C.	-	-	-	2%	12%	41%	46%
6	BEVACQUA Aria F.	-	-	3%	14%	34%	36%	13%
7	DANK Dina	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
8	COLTER Aurora	6%	25%	37%	24%	8%	1%	-
9	JOHNSON Dagny L.	2%	13%	33%	34%	16%	3%
10	NATH Trisha	-	1%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
11	SPRINGER Ella	3%	16%	32%	30%	14%	3%	-
12	KIM Marley I.	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	3%
13	LEE Hannah	1%	6%	24%	37%	26%	6%
14	HILD Nisha	-	-	3%	14%	32%	35%	14%
15	STONE Hava S.	-	-	3%	13%	31%	37%	16%
16	LEE Sophia	-	5%	18%	33%	30%	13%	2%
17	LIGH Erenei J.	-	1%	7%	23%	35%	26%	7%
18	NI Sharon	-	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	6%
19	SINHA Anika	-	2%	10%	26%	35%	22%	5%
19	PAUL Lila	-	-	2%	10%	30%	40%	19%
21	NGUYEN Ella	3%	16%	32%	32%	15%	3%	-
22	MUND Ruth	8%	30%	37%	19%	5%	1%	-
23	SHUM Cindy	22%	39%	27%	9%	2%	-	-
24	FESTA Carina	1%	9%	28%	35%	21%	5%	1%
25	SLOBODSKY Sasha L.	2%	13%	31%	33%	17%	3%	-
26	MARYASH Samantha	1%	9%	26%	34%	22%	7%	1%
27	XIKES Katherine E.	-	1%	9%	25%	35%	23%	6%
28	REN Xinling	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%	-
29	PATNAIK Nastassia	2%	18%	35%	30%	13%	3%	-
30	FEIG Sela	2%	14%	33%	32%	15%	3%	-
31	WANG Jianning	6%	25%	35%	24%	8%	1%	-
32	BERNSTEIN Aiden S.	15%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
33	YOUNG Audrey	42%	41%	15%	3%	-	-
34	BAKER Audrey C.	-	3%	15%	33%	32%	14%	2%
34	NAYAK Esha	3%	19%	35%	28%	11%	2%	-
36	CONNOLLY Vida	31%	43%	21%	5%	-	-	-
37	ALTIRS Kate	8%	27%	36%	22%	6%	1%	-
38	NAYAK Anika	26%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-	-
38	BAWA Anahat	12%	33%	34%	17%	4%	-	-
40	KAPLAN Gabriela	50%	37%	11%	2%	-	-	-
41	BINSTOCK Mari I.	6%	28%	38%	22%	6%	1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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