Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GINIS Nathan | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | ARIAS Cesar A | D V V V D | V V V V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 3 | PARKHURST Jr Michael | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 3 | CZAHA Balint | D V V D V | V V V V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 5 | HO Kaden M. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 6 | LASORSA Matthew | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 7 | LEVIN Mark A. | V V D V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 8 | STEINMETZ John | V D V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 9 | HONG Vincent Q. | V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 9 | YUAN Kevin | V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 11 | WU MENGKE | V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 12 | ALKEMPER Tristan H. | V V V V D | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 13 | EPSTEIN Henry N. | V V V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 14 | BOURGHOL Matthew | D D V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 15 | WU Wilmund | D V V D D V | V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 16 | OVERDECK Andrew | D D D D D | V V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 17 | GILLIGAN Wolff | V V V V D | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 18 | NEVILLE James | D V V V V | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 19 | PANDEY Neil | D V V V V | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 20 | HUANG Tyler T. | V V D V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 21 | HUANG Ethan F. | V D V V V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 22 | DEWEY Charles J. | V D V D V V | V | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 23 | SHTEYN Mark | V V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 24 | DENG Andrew | D V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 25 | CLYMER Lucas Y. | V D V V D | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 26 | SPRANG Nicholas D. | V D V D D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 27 | BUCCINO George | D V V D D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 28 | MARGULIES William | D D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 29 | WONG Ryan | D D V V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 30 | FISK Ethan | D D V V D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 31 | EPSTEIN Oliver D. | D D V D V | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 32 | SPOSATO Andrew P. | D D D V V D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 33 | GRYCIUK Koby | V V D V D | D | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 34 | DEFORD Kevin W. | V V D D D | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 35 | LEDERER Justin W. | V V D D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 36 | MYLEK Peter | V D D D V | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 37 | CHENG Kyle | D D D D V | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 38 | MOULTON Ian | V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 39 | LEUNG Andrew K. | V D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 40 | GONG Nanbo | V D D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 41 | LIU Mingyang Ryan | D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 42 | CHOU William | D D D D V | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 43 | ZHENG Joshua | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 44 | SANDERS Samuel B. | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 45 | MASSO Anthony | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 46 | ZATZ Ben Z. | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 47 | CHANG Yufeng | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 48 | SUSSMAN Jamie | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 49 | BLACKBURN Henry | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.