The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Renee - - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
2 SHIM Grace - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
3 YURKOVA Mariia - - 2% 19% 52% 28%
3 FIELD Elizabeth - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
5 MCSHERRY Ava - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
6 SIROTA Francis - - 1% 15% 51% 32%
7 FENG Grace - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
8 HAFEZ Tahiyah - 1% 15% 59% 23% 2%
9 YANG Emma - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
10 LIU Caydence - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
11 KUMAMOTO Shino - - 1% 5% 24% 43% 27%
12 LI Han - 6% 28% 48% 17% 2%
13 BERGEL Daphne 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
14 KAPRAN Anastasia - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
15 LI savannah 21% 51% 23% 4% - -
16 HARRIS Julia - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
17 JOO Natalie - - 1% 11% 46% 42%
18 WANG Amabel 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
19 HUSSIAN Annabelle - 1% 8% 34% 51% 6%
20 CAVANAGH Emma 38% 45% 16% 2% - -
21 JIN Sophie 40% 44% 14% 1% - -
22 MAJID Inaaya 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
23 ORRINGER Lottie 8% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
24 ZHANG Constance 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
25 REZA Fukaina 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
26 STEIXNER Mia 13% 43% 35% 8% 1% -
27 CHANG Victoria 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -
28 KIM Claire - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
29 JIN Amie 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
30 LEE Allison - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
31 LI Xiang 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% 1%
32 LIN Yunong 11% 38% 39% 12% 1% -
33 VOROS Madeleine 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.