2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
2 SHIM Grace 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
3 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 28%
3 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
5 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
6 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 32%
7 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
8 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 99% 84% 25% 2%
9 YANG Emma 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
10 LIU Caydence 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
11 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
12 LI Han 100% 100% 94% 66% 18% 2%
13 BERGEL Daphne 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
14 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
15 LI savannah 100% 79% 27% 4% - -
16 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
17 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 42%
18 WANG Amabel 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
19 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 6%
20 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
21 JIN Sophie 100% 60% 16% 1% - -
22 MAJID Inaaya 100% 96% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
23 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
24 ZHANG Constance 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
25 REZA Fukaina 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
26 STEIXNER Mia 100% 87% 44% 9% 1% -
27 CHANG Victoria 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
28 KIM Claire 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 2%
29 JIN Amie 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
30 LEE Allison 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
31 LI Xiang 100% 98% 85% 48% 12% 1%
32 LIN Yunong 100% 89% 51% 12% 1% -
33 VOROS Madeleine 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.