2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
2 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
3 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
3 XIAO julie 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
5 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
6 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
7 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
8 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52%
9 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
10 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
11 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
12 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
13 MUND Ruth 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
14 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
15 NAYAK Esha 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
16 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
17 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
18 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
19 YAN Lena 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
20 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
21 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
22 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
23 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
24 DAI Olivia 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
25 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
26 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 98% 87% 60% 29% 8% 1%
27 SADOVA Olga 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
28 GRINBERG Aliya 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 3%
29 CHEN Ashley 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
30 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 98% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
31 MARYASH Samantha 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
32 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
33 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
34 FEIG Sela 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
35 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 3%
36 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
37 FLATT Sophia 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
38 WU Helen 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
39 LAGOON Miriam 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
40 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
41 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
42 GUVEN Coco 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
43 YEN Natalie 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
44 ZHENG Valentina 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
45 WANG Jianning 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
46 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
47 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
48 SHI Julia 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
49 ALTIRS Kate 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
49 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
51 YOUNG Audrey 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
52 KUANG TongFei 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
53 SHUM Cindy 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
54 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
55 LI Angela 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
56 BÁEZ Sophia 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 2% -
57 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
58 AVALIANI Elena 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
59 YU Zhiang 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
60 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
61 ZHANG Emily 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
62 NAYAK Anika 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
63 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
64 CHOU Amy R. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
65 CASE Jocelyn 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
66 GIBEK Victoria 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
67 COLLINS Audrey 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.