2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 2:30 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONG Joy 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
2 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
3 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
3 ZHANG Ashley 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
5 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
6 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
7 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 10%
8 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 92% 54% 17% 2% -
9 GOLEN Grace 100% 96% 70% 29% 5% -
10 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
11 MELE Alexis 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
12 PARK Haylie 100% 99% 87% 46% 12% 1%
13 BROWN Piper 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% -
14 HURÉ Maïa 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
15 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
16 WILSON Lilia 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
17 MULLER Inara 100% 99% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
18 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 16%
19 CHOI Charlotte 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
20 REN Katherine 100% 92% 49% 13% 2% -
21 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 27% 2% < 1% - - -
22 MARGULIS Roxana 100% 92% 51% 13% 2% - -
23 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
24 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 98% 79% 35% 5%
25 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
26 WANG Chloe 100% 99% 81% 35% 7% -
27 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 29% 3% - - -
28 FADEL Emma 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% -
28 CHEN Chloe 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
30 ONG Katherine 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
31 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.