The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
2 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 LIN Philip T. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 5%
3 MEHAN Nicholas - - - - 3% 24% 73%
5 CARRINGTON IV William T. - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
6 NGUYEN Anthony - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
7 LIU Kevin - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
8 CLARK Aram - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
9 KIM Ethan - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
10 WANG daniel - - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11%
11 LIN Maxim - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
12 URSU Marcel T. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
13 MONTALVO Matthew 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
14 ALAVE Kyle - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
15 FADEL Alexander - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
16 PEREIRA Beckham - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
17 LEE Andrew 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
18 BIVIJI Ali - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 18%
19 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
20 CHUNG Connor 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
21 LEUNG Ian - 1% 8% 29% 40% 21% 2%
22 DEELY Hartigan 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
23 OH Aster - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 16%
24 KIM Kendrick 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2%
25 PORTER Dupree - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
26 WELSTEAD Nicholas 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
27 LIU Ryan 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
28 DIAZ-TERRA Pablo 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
29 MEDVINSKY Daniel - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 4%
30 LOO Jason 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
31 DAI Zihou 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
32 SHINCHUK Jacob 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
33 SARWAHI Viraat - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
34 YOOK Isaac - 1% 10% 29% 39% 18% 3%
35 BROENING-CHAI Jonas - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
36 GREENE Xavier 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
37 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - 4% 18% 37% 31% 10% -
37 TAYCHER Aaron - 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
39 SHAPIRO Simon 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
40 SASSI Ilyas 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
41 LIEBOWITZ Carson 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
42 LEVIN Jacob - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
43 LEE John 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
44 MARTINSON Torm 1% 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
45 SANTOS Theodore 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
46 ONG Dylan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
47 PAI Ayan 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
48 ZHANG Ray 20% 37% 29% 11% 2% - -
49 TUNIK Joshuah 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
50 GAO Kai 54% 37% 9% 1% - - -
51 SADHU Neiyam 2% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
52 KAPOOR Krish 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
53 AVERY Marcus 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
54 DOSTAL Maximilian 2% 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
55 CHENG Sawyer 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
56 BIVIJI Adam 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
57 GERTSBERG Eli 6% 32% 39% 18% 4% - -
57 SONG Aidan 83% 16% 1% - - - -
59 LUCAS Collin 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
60 RUTLEDGE Carrigh 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% - -
61 KUSHKOV Michael 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
62 BUTLER JR. Anthony 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
62 YOUNG Parker 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.