2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
2 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
3 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
5 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
6 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
7 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
8 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
9 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
10 WANG daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
11 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
12 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
13 MONTALVO Matthew 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
14 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
15 FADEL Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
16 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
17 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
18 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
19 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
20 CHUNG Connor 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
21 LEUNG Ian 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
22 DEELY Hartigan 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
23 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
24 KIM Kendrick 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 2%
25 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
26 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
27 LIU Ryan 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
28 DIAZ-TERRA Pablo 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
29 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 4%
30 LOO Jason 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
31 DAI Zihou 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
32 SHINCHUK Jacob 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
33 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
34 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 3%
35 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
36 GREENE Xavier 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
37 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% -
37 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 21% 4%
39 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
40 SASSI Ilyas 100% 91% 56% 19% 4% - -
41 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
42 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
43 LEE John 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
44 MARTINSON Torm 100% 99% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
45 SANTOS Theodore 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
46 ONG Dylan 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 6% -
47 PAI Ayan 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
48 ZHANG Ray 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
49 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
50 GAO Kai 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
51 SADHU Neiyam 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
52 KAPOOR Krish 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
53 AVERY Marcus 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
54 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 98% 72% 31% 6% 1% -
55 CHENG Sawyer 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
56 BIVIJI Adam 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
57 GERTSBERG Eli 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% - -
57 SONG Aidan 100% 17% 1% - - - -
59 LUCAS Collin 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
60 RUTLEDGE Carrigh 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
61 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
62 BUTLER JR. Anthony 100% 81% 40% 9% 1% - -
62 YOUNG Parker 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.