2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 39%
2 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
5 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
6 ZHOU Catherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 5%
7 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 97% 76% 31% 4%
8 SHIM Grace 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
9 KAPUSTINA Arina 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 19%
10 FIELD Julianna 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
11 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 12%
12 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12%
13 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 26%
14 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
15 FENG Grace 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 3%
16 LI Han 100% 96% 71% 26% 4% -
17 WANG Reese 100% 92% 50% 13% 1% -
18 YANG Emma 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 4%
19 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 5% -
20 MAJID Inaaya 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
21 LEVY Avery 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12%
22 LI Eleanor 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
23 BURGESS Logan 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
24 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 13%
25 BERGEL Daphne 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% -
26 REZA Fukaina 100% 78% 31% 5% - - -
27 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
28 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 80% 33% 6% - -
29 HAO Danica 100% 96% 73% 30% 5% -
30 LAO Sophia 100% 95% 69% 25% 4% - -
31 POPOVA Polina 100% 78% 29% 4% - -
32 LIU Lucy 100% 97% 71% 27% 4% -
33 JIN Amie 100% 60% 15% 2% - -
34 LAZAR Carolina 100% 90% 55% 18% 2% -
35 KUMAR Ishana 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
36 DALBERG Meadow 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
37 CHANG Victoria 100% 57% 14% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.