2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
2 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
3 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 97% 69% 25% 3%
3 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
5 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
6 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
7 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
8 BILILIES Sophia 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
9 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
10 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
11 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% < 1% -
12 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
13 FAN Grace 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
14 WU Helen 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
15 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
16 SO Catelyn 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
17 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
18 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
19 SADOVA Olga 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
20 MARYASH Samantha 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
21 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
22 NAYAK Esha 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
23 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 4%
24 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
25 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
26 NAYAK Anika 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
27 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
28 NGUYEN Ella 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 3%
29 NATH Trisha 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
30 BROWN Delaney 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
31 CHEN Ashley 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
32 DAI Olivia 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
33 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 96% 65% 22% 3%
34 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
35 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
36 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
37 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
38 YEN Natalie 100% 95% 58% 19% 3% -
39 YU Zhiang 100% 99% 73% 32% 7% 1%
40 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
41 WANG Jianning 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
42 YOUNG Audrey 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
43 PATNAIK Nastassia 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
44 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
45 HORMEL Molly 100% 24% 2% - - -
46 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 99% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
47 KUANG TongFei 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
48 XIAO julie 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
48 FLATT Sophia 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
50 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
51 LI Angela 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
52 BÁEZ Sophia 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
53 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
54 ZHENG Valentina 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
55 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
56 COLLINS Audrey 100% 30% 4% - - -
57 CHERCHEVER Julia 100% 90% 19% 1% - -
58 ZHOU Leah 100% 4% - - - -
59 DUBETSKY Ashley 100% 19% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.