2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 2:30 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ANTHONY Alexia B. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
2 JEONG Katie - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
3 MAKLIN Sofia - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 KHAN Alissa - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
5 GOMERMAN Sophia - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
5 ZENG Sarah 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
7 NAYAK Esha - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
8 SHI Julia - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
9 TSUI Natalie - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
10 DAI Olivia 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
11 MCKEE Brynnley - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
12 HUANG Rachael - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
13 HAMBAZAZA Liisa - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
14 MONTORIO Lily M. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
15 ZHANG Sophie 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
16 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
17 MALEK Zolie - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
18 WU Helen - - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
19 HE Lizbeth - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
20 MEDVINSKY Alexandra - 1% 7% 29% 40% 20% 3%
21 FLATT Sophia 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
22 NATH Trisha - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
23 MARYASH Samantha - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
24 MUND Ruth - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 2%
25 SHINCHUK Ellisha - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
26 YAN Lena 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
27 CHAVAN Arya 2% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
28 ZHENG Valentina 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
29 KHOST Maeve 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
30 LIU Yifei 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
31 YU Zhiang 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
32 CHAN Madeleine V. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
33 HU Anna 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
34 CHO Kaeli M. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% < 1% -
35 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - 4% 23% 48% 25%
36 ZHANG Chenfei - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
37 YOUNG Audrey - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
38 BERRIOS Catalina 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
39 LAURI Keira 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
40 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
41 MYAT Chloe 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
42 LOO Kaitlyn 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
42 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
44 KUANG TongFei 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
45 GUVEN Coco - 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
46 BUSH Bethany 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
47 MARGULIAN Maria 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
48 KRASOWITZ Lucy 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
49 ALTIRS Kate - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
50 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 2% 20% 41% 30% 7% 1%
50 GUGALA Hanna 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
52 KNOBEL Sophia 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
53 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
54 LIM Alexa J. 2% 19% 41% 30% 7% 1%
55 LAGOON Miriam 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
56 KANDADAI Lara 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
57 CHOU Amy R. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
58 SRINATH Lyra A. 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
59 CHIARELLI Valentina - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
60 LI Alexis 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
61 NEUMAN Ella 3% 22% 47% 23% 5% - -
62 HO Sophia 48% 43% 9% - - - -
63 MAGITSKY Leila 40% 40% 16% 4% - - -
64 KULIK Sophia 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
65 SVENSSON Siri Lin 20% 46% 27% 6% 1% - -
66 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
67 ONG Lauren 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
68 BORGUETA Madison 3% 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
69 ALAMI Amira 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
70 METTKE Ella 71% 26% 3% - - -
71 BERNSTEIN Avery 6% 35% 40% 17% 3% - -
71 CHO-SAYEGH Emily 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
73 SALANDY Lilly 66% 29% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.